Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#131
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.9#286
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#120
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.5% 25.6% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.0 12.6 13.4
.500 or above 82.8% 92.5% 76.6%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 92.4% 84.2%
Conference Champion 25.8% 32.8% 21.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.0%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round20.2% 25.4% 16.9%
Second Round3.5% 5.3% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 39.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 7
Quad 414 - 318 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 134   @ Arkansas St. L 70-73 40%    
  Nov 12, 2024 35   @ St. Mary's L 57-69 13%    
  Nov 22, 2024 283   Lamar W 75-64 84%    
  Nov 23, 2024 302   Nebraska Omaha W 75-63 86%    
  Nov 24, 2024 293   Alabama St. W 72-60 85%    
  Dec 03, 2024 174   Northern Kentucky W 71-65 69%    
  Dec 15, 2024 200   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-71 62%    
  Dec 20, 2024 113   Yale L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 30, 2024 104   @ Princeton L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 265   @ Bowling Green W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 07, 2025 277   Central Michigan W 70-59 82%    
  Jan 11, 2025 287   @ Eastern Michigan W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 14, 2025 168   Toledo W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 18, 2025 121   Ohio W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 21, 2025 337   @ Buffalo W 75-65 80%    
  Jan 25, 2025 233   Miami (OH) W 72-63 76%    
  Jan 28, 2025 306   @ Northern Illinois W 73-66 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 118   @ Kent St. L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 04, 2025 240   Ball St. W 73-64 77%    
  Feb 11, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 76-63 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 277   @ Central Michigan W 67-62 64%    
  Feb 18, 2025 306   Northern Illinois W 76-63 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   @ Ohio L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 25, 2025 240   @ Ball St. W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 118   Kent St. W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 04, 2025 168   @ Toledo L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 07, 2025 337   Buffalo W 78-62 90%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.7 7.1 6.8 4.0 1.3 25.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.4 6.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.8 4.3 1.1 0.1 14.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.5 5.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.3 5.1 7.1 9.2 11.2 12.3 13.0 12.0 10.1 7.2 4.0 1.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
17-1 99.8% 4.0    3.9 0.2
16-2 94.2% 6.8    5.7 1.1 0.0
15-3 69.7% 7.1    4.5 2.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.2% 4.7    1.8 2.2 0.6 0.0
13-5 12.7% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.8% 25.8 17.5 6.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.3% 73.7% 67.2% 6.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 19.7%
17-1 4.0% 58.3% 55.8% 2.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.7 5.8%
16-2 7.2% 45.4% 45.0% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.9 0.7%
15-3 10.1% 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.1 6.6 0.0%
14-4 12.0% 27.8% 27.8% 13.3 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.6
13-5 13.0% 21.3% 21.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 10.2
12-6 12.3% 14.7% 14.7% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 10.5
11-7 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 10.1
10-8 9.2% 7.8% 7.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 8.5
9-9 7.1% 5.5% 5.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.7
8-10 5.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
7-11 3.3% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.3
6-12 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 1.2% 1.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.5% 20.3% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 4.7 5.7 4.3 2.6 0.9 79.5 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.6 10.7 2.9 15.0 11.4 28.6 20.0 4.3 7.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 12.2 12.2 17.1 36.6 12.2 9.8