IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.9	#338
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.6	#46
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.4	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.0%	6.3%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	23.6%	41.3%	16.7%
.500 or above in Conference	47.5%	60.8%	42.3%
Conference Champion	4.4%	7.5%	3.1%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	3.6%	8.4%

First Four	3.2%	4.6%	2.6%
First Round	2.2%	3.9%	1.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2024	309	@ Tennessee St.	L	69-75	28%
Nov 19, 2024	61	@ Georgia	L	62-85	2%
Nov 22, 2024	307	South Carolina St.	L	73-74	49%
Nov 23, 2024	291	Coastal Carolina	L	74-75	46%
Nov 25, 2024	360	IU Indianapolis	W	75-67	75%
Nov 30, 2024	158	Lipscomb	L	73-81	24%
Dec 15, 2024	147	@ Chattanooga	L	66-81	10%
Dec 18, 2024	88	@ UAB	L	64-85	4%
Dec 21, 2024	138	Samford	L	76-85	21%
Dec 28, 2024	80	@ Georgia Tech	L	63-84	4%
Jan 04, 2025	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-75	70%
Jan 06, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	72-60	84%
Jan 11, 2025	324	@ Alcorn St.	L	70-75	35%
Jan 13, 2025	319	@ Jackson St.	L	70-75	33%
Jan 18, 2025	293	Alabama St.	L	69-70	46%
Jan 25, 2025	261	Texas Southern	L	70-73	40%
Jan 27, 2025	344	Prairie View	W	77-73	63%
Feb 01, 2025	353	@ Florida A&M	L	70-71	48%
Feb 03, 2025	298	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	71-78	29%
Feb 08, 2025	248	Southern	L	68-72	38%
Feb 10, 2025	273	Grambling St.	L	66-69	42%
Feb 15, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-63	69%
Feb 17, 2025	358	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-77	50%
Feb 22, 2025	298	Bethune-Cookman	L	74-75	47%
Feb 24, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	73-68	67%
Mar 01, 2025	293	@ Alabama St.	L	66-73	28%
Mar 06, 2025	273	@ Grambling St.	L	63-72	24%
Mar 08, 2025	248	@ Southern	L	65-75	22%
Projected Record						11 - 17	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.0		4.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	1.5	0.4	0.1				6.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.0	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0					7.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.1	3.6	1.8	0.3	0.0						8.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	2.1	0.3	0.0							9.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.9	4.5	2.9	0.4	0.0								9.9	6th
7th							0.2	1.8	4.9	3.3	0.6	0.0									10.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	4.8	3.8	0.6	0.0										11.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.0	4.4	3.6	0.7	0.0											10.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	1.9	3.8	3.0	0.7	0.0												9.7	10th
11th		0.1	0.6	1.9	2.8	1.8	0.5	0.0													7.7	11th
12th	0.2	0.6	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.1	12th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.9	3.5	5.6	7.9	10.0	11.1	11.7	11.2	10.6	8.5	6.7	4.8	3.0	1.8	0.7	0.3	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.2	0.0
16-2	91.5%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.9%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	41.3%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.9%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.3	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		55.7%	55.7%		13.8														0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-1	0.3%		40.4%	40.4%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-2	0.7%		31.6%	31.6%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5
15-3	1.8%		24.0%	24.0%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	1.3
14-4	3.0%		15.7%	15.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	2.6
13-5	4.8%		13.2%	13.2%		16.0																0.0	0.6	4.1
12-6	6.7%		8.6%	8.6%		16.0																0.0	0.6	6.1
11-7	8.5%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.5	8.0
10-8	10.6%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.5	10.1
9-9	11.2%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	10.9
8-10	11.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	11.5
7-11	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
6-12	10.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
5-13	7.9%																							7.9
4-14	5.6%																							5.6
3-15	3.5%																							3.5
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.0%	4.0%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	3.6	96.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%