Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#259
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.5#6
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.5% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 42.0% 54.3% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 51.8% 59.6% 42.8%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.6% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 6.4% 13.2%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.7%
First Round5.0% 6.6% 3.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 412 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 321   @ Army W 71-70 54%    
  Nov 13, 2024 313   @ Dartmouth W 73-72 51%    
  Nov 16, 2024 339   Siena W 78-69 79%    
  Nov 23, 2024 205   UMKC L 75-78 40%    
  Nov 24, 2024 252   American L 72-73 49%    
  Nov 30, 2024 101   @ Georgetown L 73-86 12%    
  Dec 04, 2024 230   Columbia W 82-80 55%    
  Dec 07, 2024 266   @ Boston University L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 10, 2024 56   @ Syracuse L 75-92 7%    
  Dec 14, 2024 154   Drexel L 73-75 42%    
  Dec 18, 2024 334   @ Sacred Heart W 82-79 59%    
  Dec 21, 2024 159   @ Fordham L 75-83 25%    
  Dec 29, 2024 260   Stony Brook W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 143   Umass Lowell L 80-83 40%    
  Jan 09, 2025 305   @ New Hampshire L 80-81 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 253   @ Maine L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 16, 2025 169   Bryant L 84-86 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 318   @ Binghamton W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 23, 2025 272   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-86 61%    
  Jan 25, 2025 343   NJIT W 81-71 79%    
  Feb 01, 2025 318   Binghamton W 80-73 71%    
  Feb 06, 2025 169   @ Bryant L 81-89 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 111   Vermont L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 13, 2025 143   @ Umass Lowell L 77-86 23%    
  Feb 20, 2025 253   Maine W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 305   New Hampshire W 84-78 68%    
  Feb 27, 2025 272   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 86-89 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 343   @ NJIT W 78-74 62%    
  Mar 04, 2025 111   @ Vermont L 65-77 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 0.1 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.7 5.9 1.9 0.2 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 4.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 9th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.4 6.9 9.4 11.3 12.6 12.7 11.8 9.9 7.6 4.9 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 89.7% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
13-3 60.5% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
12-4 29.3% 1.4    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-5 7.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 60.1% 57.4% 2.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3%
15-1 0.5% 46.0% 46.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.3% 31.9% 31.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.0% 23.9% 23.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.3
12-4 4.9% 17.3% 17.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 4.1
11-5 7.6% 12.5% 12.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 6.6
10-6 9.9% 9.5% 9.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 8.9
9-7 11.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.2
8-8 12.7% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.2
7-9 12.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.3
6-10 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.2
5-11 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.3
4-12 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-13 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-14 2.4% 2.4
1-15 0.9% 0.9
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.8 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%