Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#324
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.6#239
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 11.9% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 13.6% 40.3% 12.8%
.500 or above in Conference 62.0% 82.5% 61.4%
Conference Champion 7.3% 16.5% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 0.6% 3.8%
First Four4.2% 5.4% 4.1%
First Round3.9% 9.4% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 41 - 12
Quad 410 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 77   @ Utah L 64-84 3%    
  Nov 06, 2024 81   @ Utah St. L 63-83 3%    
  Nov 11, 2024 175   @ Tulane L 72-84 14%    
  Nov 19, 2024 53   @ TCU L 63-85 2%    
  Nov 22, 2024 62   @ Washington L 65-86 3%    
  Nov 24, 2024 183   @ UC Riverside L 65-77 16%    
  Nov 29, 2024 223   @ South Alabama L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 01, 2024 38   @ Maryland L 56-79 2%    
  Dec 04, 2024 105   @ Wichita St. L 63-80 7%    
  Dec 07, 2024 55   @ Oklahoma L 60-82 3%    
  Dec 16, 2024 211   @ Rice L 66-76 20%    
  Dec 22, 2024 88   @ UAB L 64-83 5%    
  Jan 04, 2025 319   Jackson St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 338   Alabama A&M W 75-70 65%    
  Jan 13, 2025 293   Alabama St. W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 20, 2025 344   @ Prairie View L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 74-67 71%    
  Jan 27, 2025 298   Bethune-Cookman W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 248   @ Southern L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 03, 2025 273   @ Grambling St. L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 358   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-73 74%    
  Feb 10, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 73-59 87%    
  Feb 15, 2025 298   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 17, 2025 353   @ Florida A&M W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 319   @ Jackson St. L 70-74 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 344   Prairie View W 77-72 67%    
  Mar 03, 2025 261   Texas Southern L 70-71 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-62 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 358   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-76 56%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 10.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 4.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.4 5.0 7.3 9.1 10.6 11.8 11.7 11.1 9.5 7.3 5.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.2% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 90.2% 1.5    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 68.2% 2.1    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.4% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.8% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 51.7% 51.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 38.6% 38.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-2 1.6% 32.6% 32.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1
15-3 3.1% 23.8% 23.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.4
14-4 5.1% 19.0% 19.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.1
13-5 7.3% 13.4% 13.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 6.3
12-6 9.5% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 8.6
11-7 11.1% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.4
10-8 11.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.2
9-9 11.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 11.5
8-10 10.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.5
7-11 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
6-12 7.3% 7.3
5-13 5.0% 5.0
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.1 94.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%