IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#267
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#101
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#220

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.3%	24.8%	14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	62.3%	80.8%	56.2%
.500 or above in Conference	78.0%	87.4%	74.9%
Conference Champion	22.0%	31.6%	18.8%
Last Place in Conference	2.8%	1.2%	3.3%

First Four	8.6%	9.5%	8.3%
First Round	13.4%	20.4%	11.1%
Second Round	0.5%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 7	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	189	@ Winthrop	L	71-78	25%
Nov 12, 2024	134	@ Arkansas St.	L	72-82	18%
Nov 16, 2024	232	@ Texas San Antonio	L	77-82	33%
Nov 20, 2024	148	@ Tulsa	L	73-82	21%
Nov 22, 2024	15	@ Arkansas	L	67-89	3%
Nov 25, 2024	22	@ Illinois	L	67-88	3%
Nov 27, 2024	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	76-63	87%
Dec 04, 2024	341	Central Arkansas	W	80-71	79%
Dec 15, 2024	203	Illinois-Chicago	L	73-74	50%
Dec 19, 2024	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	75-69	71%
Dec 21, 2024	326	Eastern Illinois	W	75-67	74%
Jan 02, 2025	323	@ Tennessee Martin	W	80-79	54%
Jan 04, 2025	309	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-74	48%
Jan 09, 2025	224	Morehead St.	W	69-68	53%
Jan 11, 2025	328	Southern Indiana	W	79-71	74%
Jan 14, 2025	327	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-74	55%
Jan 18, 2025	336	@ Tennessee Tech	W	72-69	59%
Jan 23, 2025	294	@ Western Illinois	L	68-69	46%
Jan 25, 2025	349	@ Lindenwood	W	75-71	64%
Jan 30, 2025	309	Tennessee St.	W	77-71	68%
Feb 01, 2025	323	Tennessee Martin	W	83-76	73%
Feb 06, 2025	328	@ Southern Indiana	W	76-74	56%
Feb 08, 2025	224	@ Morehead St.	L	66-71	34%
Feb 11, 2025	327	Southeast Missouri St.	W	79-71	73%
Feb 13, 2025	336	Tennessee Tech	W	75-66	76%
Feb 20, 2025	349	Lindenwood	W	78-68	80%
Feb 22, 2025	294	Western Illinois	W	71-66	65%
Feb 27, 2025	326	@ Eastern Illinois	W	72-70	55%
Mar 01, 2025	316	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	72-71	51%
Projected Record						16 - 13	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.4	1.7	3.7	5.2	5.0	3.6	1.8	0.6		22.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.8	3.2	5.3	4.7	2.6	0.8	0.1				17.5	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.0	3.7	4.9	3.1	0.9	0.1						13.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.9	3.5	4.4	1.9	0.4	0.0							11.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.0	3.7	1.4	0.2	0.0								9.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.6	3.0	1.1	0.1										7.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.0	2.5	0.9	0.1											6.1	7th
8th						0.1	0.4	1.5	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0											4.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.5	0.6	0.1													3.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.0														2.6	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0															1.7	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.7	3.9	5.3	6.9	8.0	9.5	10.4	10.6	10.4	9.4	7.9	5.8	3.7	1.8	0.6			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
19-1	100.0%	1.8		1.8	0.0
18-2	96.9%	3.6		3.3	0.3
17-3	86.7%	5.0		4.1	0.9	0.0
16-4	65.8%	5.2		3.5	1.5	0.2
15-5	39.3%	3.7		1.7	1.5	0.4	0.0
14-6	16.3%	1.7		0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	4.0%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	22.0%	22.0		15.4	5.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.6%		64.0%	64.0%		13.4							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
19-1	1.8%		59.7%	59.7%		14.3													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.7
18-2	3.7%		52.1%	52.1%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.5	1.8
17-3	5.8%		45.2%	45.2%		15.4														0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	3.2
16-4	7.9%		38.1%	38.1%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.6	2.3	4.9
15-5	9.4%		30.6%	30.6%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	2.5	6.5
14-6	10.4%		21.1%	21.1%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.1	8.2
13-7	10.6%		14.9%	14.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.6	9.0
12-8	10.4%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	0.8	9.6
11-9	9.5%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.0
10-10	8.0%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	7.8
9-11	6.9%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.1	6.7
8-12	5.3%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
7-13	3.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
6-14	2.7%																							2.7
5-15	1.6%																							1.6
4-16	0.9%																							0.9
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		17.3%	17.3%	0.0%	15.5							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.2	12.1	82.7		0.0%