IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.9	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.9	#355
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.3%	4.6%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	25.4%	36.6%	15.7%
.500 or above in Conference	34.3%	42.5%	27.2%
Conference Champion	3.2%	4.7%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	16.8%	11.5%	21.3%

First Four	1.7%	2.0%	1.4%
First Round	2.4%	3.5%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	259	Albany	L	70-71	46%
Nov 08, 2024	4	@ Duke	L	49-79	0.3%
Nov 15, 2024	235	@ Marist	L	55-63	22%
Nov 20, 2024	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	72-66	71%
Nov 22, 2024	331	@ Manhattan	L	63-65	44%
Dec 03, 2024	335	@ Le Moyne	L	63-64	46%
Dec 08, 2024	172	Cornell	L	67-73	32%
Dec 13, 2024	150	@ George Washington	L	63-75	14%
Dec 22, 2024	318	Binghamton	W	65-62	59%
Dec 29, 2024	232	Texas San Antonio	L	68-70	42%
Jan 02, 2025	171	@ Colgate	L	56-68	16%
Jan 05, 2025	266	@ Boston University	L	58-65	28%
Jan 08, 2025	350	Loyola Maryland	W	65-58	72%
Jan 11, 2025	264	@ Lehigh	L	63-70	29%
Jan 15, 2025	199	Lafayette	L	58-62	36%
Jan 18, 2025	266	Boston University	L	61-62	47%
Jan 22, 2025	348	@ Holy Cross	W	64-63	51%
Jan 26, 2025	258	Navy	L	61-62	47%
Jan 29, 2025	171	Colgate	L	59-65	32%
Feb 01, 2025	252	@ American	L	57-64	27%
Feb 05, 2025	348	Holy Cross	W	67-61	70%
Feb 08, 2025	268	Bucknell	L	61-62	48%
Feb 12, 2025	350	@ Loyola Maryland	W	62-61	53%
Feb 15, 2025	258	@ Navy	L	58-65	28%
Feb 19, 2025	252	American	L	60-61	45%
Feb 23, 2025	268	@ Bucknell	L	58-65	29%
Feb 25, 2025	199	@ Lafayette	L	55-65	20%
Mar 01, 2025	264	Lehigh	L	66-67	47%
Projected Record						11 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.7	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0				4.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.2	2.6	1.9	0.6	0.0						6.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.7	3.6	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.5	2.6	0.5	0.0								10.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.8	5.1	3.0	0.4	0.0									11.9	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.7	5.5	3.1	0.5	0.0										13.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.7	4.8	5.7	2.7	0.4	0.0											15.6	8th
9th		0.1	0.7	2.9	4.7	4.3	1.7	0.2	0.0												14.5	9th
10th	0.5	1.7	3.1	3.2	1.9	0.6	0.1														11.1	10th

Total	0.5	1.8	3.9	6.4	8.3	10.5	11.8	11.6	11.0	9.9	8.0	6.0	4.4	2.9	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	97.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0	0.0
15-3	84.3%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	55.9%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.1
13-5	25.1%	0.7		0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	6.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.7	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		71.4%	71.4%		13.2														0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		57.1%	57.1%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		39.7%	39.7%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.9%		30.3%	30.3%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
14-4	1.7%		18.8%	18.8%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.4
13-5	2.9%		13.9%	13.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	2.5
12-6	4.4%		10.6%	10.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	3.9
11-7	6.0%		6.9%	6.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.4	5.6
10-8	8.0%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.4	7.5
9-9	9.9%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.6
8-10	11.0%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	10.8
7-11	11.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	11.4
6-12	11.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
5-13	10.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
4-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
3-15	6.4%																							6.4
2-16	3.9%																							3.9
1-17	1.8%																							1.8
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		3.3%	3.3%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	2.3	96.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%