Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#280
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#223
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#270
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 9.9% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.1 15.0
.500 or above 18.7% 47.6% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.1% 63.1% 40.3%
Conference Champion 5.1% 12.3% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 7.1% 16.8%
First Four1.5% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round4.4% 9.3% 4.2%
Second Round0.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 62 - 13
Quad 48 - 611 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 43   @ Clemson L 60-79 4%    
  Nov 07, 2024 254   @ North Florida L 70-74 35%    
  Nov 15, 2024 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 51%    
  Nov 19, 2024 54   @ LSU L 64-82 5%    
  Nov 23, 2024 165   Furman L 71-74 41%    
  Nov 27, 2024 80   @ Georgia Tech L 63-79 8%    
  Nov 30, 2024 36   @ Miami (FL) L 63-83 4%    
  Dec 03, 2024 323   Tennessee Martin W 80-73 72%    
  Dec 06, 2024 135   @ Davidson L 62-72 18%    
  Dec 09, 2024 307   @ South Carolina St. L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 19, 2024 231   @ North Alabama L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 22, 2024 61   @ Georgia L 63-80 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 246   Gardner-Webb W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 195   @ Longwood L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 08, 2025 125   High Point L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 189   @ Winthrop L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 269   Radford W 68-65 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 186   UNC Asheville L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 29, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   Longwood L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 189   Winthrop L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 246   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 12, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 73-68 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 186   @ UNC Asheville L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 125   @ High Point L 69-80 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 72-65 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 269   @ Radford L 65-68 39%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.1 4.6 1.5 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.3 1.4 0.1 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.7 5.2 1.4 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.7 4.7 1.2 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.5 1.8 3.1 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 10.3 9th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.0 6.8 9.3 11.2 12.5 12.6 11.6 9.8 7.5 5.6 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 92.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
13-3 74.1% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-4 44.4% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-5 14.3% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 41.5% 41.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 42.8% 42.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.8% 37.8% 37.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.9% 24.8% 24.8% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-4 3.6% 19.9% 19.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.9
11-5 5.6% 15.1% 15.1% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.8
10-6 7.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 6.9
9-7 9.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.1
8-8 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.1
7-9 12.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.2
6-10 12.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.3
5-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
4-12 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-13 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-14 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
1-15 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.0 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%