IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.2	#126
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.0	#358
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#160

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.9	#113

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	5.5%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.1%	1.2%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.1	11.0	12.3

.500 or above	61.1%	64.7%	34.6%
.500 or above in Conference	51.7%	54.0%	34.5%
Conference Champion	4.9%	5.3%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.3%	6.4%	14.2%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.2%
First Round	4.8%	5.2%	1.9%
Second Round	1.4%	1.6%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 6	7 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	303	Presbyterian	W	71-58	88%
Nov 09, 2024	81	@ Utah St.	L	63-71	23%
Nov 13, 2024	133	Richmond	W	65-62	61%
Nov 19, 2024	246	Gardner-Webb	W	71-62	79%
Nov 23, 2024	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	76-58	95%
Nov 27, 2024	170	East Tennessee St.	W	67-61	69%
Dec 10, 2024	135	@ Davidson	L	61-64	41%
Dec 14, 2024	204	@ Georgia St.	W	67-66	54%
Dec 17, 2024	351	West Georgia	W	74-56	94%
Dec 22, 2024	192	@ Hawaii	W	63-62	52%
Dec 31, 2024	175	Tulane	W	74-68	69%
Jan 04, 2025	211	@ Rice	W	66-64	56%
Jan 08, 2025	97	Florida Atlantic	L	66-67	48%
Jan 11, 2025	148	@ Tulsa	L	67-69	45%
Jan 14, 2025	105	@ Wichita St.	L	63-68	32%
Jan 19, 2025	42	Memphis	L	67-72	32%
Jan 22, 2025	102	South Florida	L	65-66	50%
Jan 29, 2025	130	@ Temple	L	63-66	40%
Feb 01, 2025	88	@ UAB	L	63-71	26%
Feb 04, 2025	105	Wichita St.	W	66-65	52%
Feb 08, 2025	211	Rice	W	69-61	74%
Feb 10, 2025	97	@ Florida Atlantic	L	63-70	29%
Feb 15, 2025	137	East Carolina	W	65-61	62%
Feb 19, 2025	130	Temple	W	66-63	60%
Feb 26, 2025	175	@ Tulane	L	71-72	49%
Mar 02, 2025	137	@ East Carolina	L	62-64	43%
Mar 06, 2025	86	@ North Texas	L	54-62	26%
Mar 09, 2025	232	Texas San Antonio	W	74-65	76%
Projected Record						15 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	1.4	1.0	0.4	0.1		4.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.3	2.4	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0			6.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	2.0	3.4	1.9	0.5	0.0					8.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.0	4.0	2.2	0.4	0.0						8.8	4th
5th									0.0	1.5	4.4	2.6	0.4	0.0							9.0	5th
6th								0.0	1.0	4.1	3.3	0.5	0.0								9.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.7	3.9	0.9	0.0									9.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	3.0	4.5	1.3	0.0										9.2	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.3	4.4	1.9	0.1											8.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	1.7	3.9	2.0	0.2	0.0											8.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	1.5	3.3	2.2	0.3	0.0												7.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0													6.2	12th
13th	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0														4.3	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.7	3.0	5.0	7.0	9.2	10.4	11.3	11.2	10.8	9.4	7.5	5.5	3.6	2.2	1.1	0.4	0.1			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.9%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	89.7%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
15-3	64.4%	1.4		0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	32.9%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-5	12.7%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.6	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		89.6%	32.3%	57.2%	5.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		84.6%
17-1	0.4%		72.5%	40.5%	32.0%	6.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		53.8%
16-2	1.1%		55.8%	26.3%	29.6%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					0.5		40.1%
15-3	2.2%		38.3%	23.1%	15.2%	10.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0				1.3		19.8%
14-4	3.6%		19.4%	15.3%	4.1%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0				2.9		4.8%
13-5	5.5%		13.8%	12.8%	1.0%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.7		1.1%
12-6	7.5%		8.2%	7.9%	0.3%	12.1											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			6.9		0.3%
11-7	9.4%		5.1%	5.0%	0.1%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0			8.9		0.1%
10-8	10.8%		3.2%	3.2%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.5
9-9	11.2%		1.7%	1.7%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.0
8-10	11.3%		1.0%	1.0%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.2
7-11	10.4%		0.5%	0.5%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4
6-12	9.2%		0.3%	0.3%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.1
5-13	7.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	7.0
4-14	5.0%																							5.0
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.1%	4.0%	1.1%	11.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	94.9		1.1%