IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Colorado
Big 12
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.4	#79
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.9	#159
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.6	#84

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.9	#73

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.1%	1.1%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	3.9%	4.2%	0.7%
Top 6 Seed	8.5%	9.0%	1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.2%	26.4%	9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	24.6%	25.8%	9.6%
Average Seed	7.6	7.6	8.9

.500 or above	49.7%	51.9%	22.1%
.500 or above in Conference	24.8%	25.8%	11.2%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	17.8%	16.8%	29.9%

First Four	3.9%	4.0%	2.5%
First Round	23.1%	24.3%	8.1%
Second Round	12.8%	13.5%	3.5%
Sweet Sixteen	4.9%	5.1%	1.1%
Elite Eight	1.9%	2.1%	0.3%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 3	6 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	9 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 0	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	262	Eastern Washington	W	83-68	93%
Nov 08, 2024	226	Northern Colorado	W	82-68	90%
Nov 13, 2024	244	Cal St. Fullerton	W	75-61	91%
Nov 17, 2024	182	Harvard	W	75-64	84%
Nov 25, 2024	24	Michigan St.	L	65-70	33%
Dec 02, 2024	314	Pacific	W	82-63	95%
Dec 07, 2024	84	Colorado St.	W	70-67	62%
Dec 13, 2024	178	South Dakota St.	W	77-66	83%
Dec 21, 2024	299	Bellarmine	W	78-60	93%
Dec 30, 2024	8	Iowa St.	L	66-72	31%
Jan 04, 2025	73	@ Arizona St.	L	71-74	39%
Jan 08, 2025	71	@ Central Florida	L	70-73	38%
Jan 12, 2025	65	West Virginia	W	74-72	56%
Jan 15, 2025	27	Cincinnati	L	70-71	45%
Jan 18, 2025	87	@ Oklahoma St.	L	69-72	42%
Jan 21, 2025	32	BYU	L	74-75	46%
Jan 25, 2025	11	@ Arizona	L	71-83	17%
Jan 28, 2025	73	Arizona St.	W	74-71	59%
Feb 02, 2025	53	@ TCU	L	72-77	34%
Feb 05, 2025	77	@ Utah	L	72-75	40%
Feb 08, 2025	3	Houston	L	62-70	25%
Feb 11, 2025	2	@ Kansas	L	67-81	12%
Feb 15, 2025	71	Central Florida	W	73-70	58%
Feb 18, 2025	8	@ Iowa St.	L	63-75	17%
Feb 22, 2025	9	Baylor	L	68-74	32%
Feb 24, 2025	2	Kansas	L	70-78	24%
Mar 02, 2025	39	@ Kansas St.	L	67-74	29%
Mar 05, 2025	21	@ Texas Tech	L	67-75	25%
Mar 08, 2025	53	TCU	W	75-74	53%
Projected Record						14 - 15	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.0	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.7	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.4	5th
6th										0.0	0.7	2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0								4.2	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	2.1	2.0	0.5	0.0									5.1	7th
8th								0.0	0.3	1.9	2.8	0.9	0.1										6.0	8th
9th								0.2	1.6	3.5	1.5	0.1											6.8	9th
10th						0.0	0.1	1.0	3.7	2.5	0.4	0.0											7.7	10th
11th						0.0	0.7	3.4	3.4	0.7	0.0												8.4	11th
12th					0.0	0.5	2.9	4.0	1.4	0.1	0.0												9.0	12th
13th			0.0	0.0	0.5	2.7	4.3	2.0	0.2	0.0													9.8	13th
14th			0.0	0.5	2.6	4.3	2.6	0.4	0.0														10.5	14th
15th		0.1	0.9	3.0	4.1	2.4	0.6	0.0															11.2	15th
16th	0.7	2.1	3.3	3.1	1.6	0.4	0.0															11.2	16th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.3	6.7	8.8	10.4	11.2	11.1	10.6	9.3	7.6	5.8	4.3	3.0	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	87.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	71.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
16-4	41.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	16.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0				0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	21.2%	78.8%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	18.8%	81.2%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	21.7%	78.3%	2.0		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.6%		100.0%	11.2%	88.8%	2.7		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	1.1%		100.0%	10.1%	89.9%	3.6		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
14-6	1.9%		100.0%	6.9%	93.1%	4.6		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.0		100.0%
13-7	3.0%		98.4%	4.5%	93.9%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.0		98.4%
12-8	4.3%		94.1%	2.8%	91.3%	7.1			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.3		93.9%
11-9	5.8%		83.0%	1.5%	81.5%	8.2				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.0					1.0		82.7%
10-10	7.6%		64.3%	0.6%	63.7%	9.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.1	1.1	0.2	0.0				2.7		64.1%
9-11	9.3%		34.1%	0.3%	33.8%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.3	0.3	0.0				6.1		33.9%
8-12	10.6%		9.9%	0.2%	9.7%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.0				9.6		9.8%
7-13	11.1%		1.7%	0.1%	1.6%	11.4										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				10.9		1.6%
6-14	11.2%		0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	11.3												0.0	0.0	0.0				11.1		0.2%
5-15	10.4%																							10.4
4-16	8.8%																							8.8
3-17	6.7%																							6.7
2-18	4.3%																							4.3
1-19	2.2%																							2.2
0-20	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		25.2%	0.8%	24.4%	7.6		0.4	0.7	1.2	1.6	2.1	2.5	2.7	3.1	3.3	3.1	3.7	0.9	0.0				74.8		24.6%