IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.0	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.5	#16
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.8	#357

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.1%	17.9%	8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	15.0%	44.1%	14.8%
.500 or above in Conference	53.6%	77.2%	53.5%
Conference Champion	8.6%	20.4%	8.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.6%	1.8%	10.7%

First Four	7.3%	12.9%	7.3%
First Round	3.7%	11.1%	3.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 11	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	36	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-93	1%
Nov 10, 2024	13	@ Creighton	L	63-92	0.3%
Nov 13, 2024	51	@ Nebraska	L	67-91	1%
Nov 17, 2024	331	Manhattan	W	77-76	54%
Nov 20, 2024	321	@ Army	L	66-72	29%
Nov 26, 2024	214	St. Peter's	L	66-72	29%
Dec 01, 2024	237	Fairfield	L	75-80	32%
Dec 04, 2024	159	@ Fordham	L	70-85	10%
Dec 11, 2024	37	@ Villanova	L	58-84	1%
Dec 18, 2024	173	@ La Salle	L	69-83	10%
Dec 21, 2024	76	@ Minnesota	L	65-87	3%
Dec 28, 2024	114	@ Boston College	L	67-85	6%
Jan 05, 2025	285	@ Wagner	L	62-71	22%
Jan 10, 2025	335	@ Le Moyne	L	74-78	36%
Jan 12, 2025	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	77-72	65%
Jan 18, 2025	304	Central Connecticut St.	L	74-76	45%
Jan 20, 2025	332	@ Chicago St.	L	70-75	34%
Jan 26, 2025	356	@ Stonehill	L	75-76	47%
Jan 30, 2025	335	Le Moyne	W	77-75	56%
Feb 01, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	80-71	77%
Feb 06, 2025	304	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	71-79	27%
Feb 08, 2025	285	Wagner	L	65-68	40%
Feb 13, 2025	332	Chicago St.	W	73-72	54%
Feb 15, 2025	352	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	78-80	43%
Feb 20, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	77-74	60%
Feb 22, 2025	354	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	74-75	45%
Feb 27, 2025	356	Stonehill	W	78-73	66%
Mar 01, 2025	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	81-77	62%
Projected Record						10 - 18	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.3	2.5	1.6	0.6	0.2		8.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.7	4.2	2.9	0.9	0.1				11.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.0	5.2	2.2	0.4	0.0					12.7	3rd
4th							0.0	1.0	4.7	5.4	1.9	0.2	0.0						13.2	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	4.9	5.7	1.5	0.1								13.4	5th
6th					0.1	1.3	4.9	5.1	1.3	0.1									12.8	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	1.7	4.6	4.4	1.1	0.0										12.0	7th
8th		0.0	0.5	2.0	3.5	2.8	0.7	0.0											9.6	8th
9th	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.0	1.2	0.3	0.0												6.4	9th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	4.3	6.5	8.9	11.1	12.2	12.7	11.5	10.1	7.9	5.6	3.4	1.7	0.6	0.2			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
14-2	93.7%	1.6		1.4	0.2
13-3	73.3%	2.5		1.7	0.8	0.1
12-4	40.7%	2.3		1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0
11-5	15.2%	1.2		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	8.6%	8.6		5.2	2.6	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		52.2%	52.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-1	0.6%		51.7%	51.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3
14-2	1.7%		32.8%	32.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1
13-3	3.4%		29.2%	29.2%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9	2.4
12-4	5.6%		23.0%	23.0%		16.0																0.0	1.3	4.3
11-5	7.9%		17.7%	17.7%		16.0																0.0	1.4	6.5
10-6	10.1%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0																0.0	1.2	8.9
9-7	11.5%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0																	0.9	10.6
8-8	12.7%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.6	12.1
7-9	12.2%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.4	11.7
6-10	11.1%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	10.9
5-11	8.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
4-12	6.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
3-13	4.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
2-14	2.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
1-15	0.9%																							0.9
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		8.1%	8.1%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.2	7.8	91.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%