IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#275
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.4	#48
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#272

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	2.4%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.8	14.4

.500 or above	17.3%	31.0%	11.6%
.500 or above in Conference	16.0%	23.7%	12.8%
Conference Champion	1.1%	2.0%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	39.8%	29.9%	43.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	1.3%	2.3%	0.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 9	4 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 5	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	211	@ Rice	L	71-77	29%
Nov 09, 2024	218	@ Southern Utah	L	75-81	30%
Nov 18, 2024	249	Howard	W	77-75	56%
Nov 22, 2024	220	Northeastern	L	71-73	41%
Nov 23, 2024	278	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	70-69	50%
Nov 24, 2024	206	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	67-73	29%
Dec 04, 2024	97	Florida Atlantic	L	72-80	24%
Dec 14, 2024	290	@ Stetson	L	73-75	44%
Dec 17, 2024	137	@ East Carolina	L	66-76	19%
Dec 21, 2024	360	IU Indianapolis	W	80-67	87%
Dec 30, 2024	276	Utah Tech	W	79-76	60%
Jan 02, 2025	197	Middle Tennessee	L	70-71	47%
Jan 04, 2025	115	Western Kentucky	L	80-86	31%
Jan 09, 2025	108	@ Louisiana Tech	L	65-77	15%
Jan 11, 2025	119	@ Sam Houston St.	L	68-79	17%
Jan 16, 2025	161	New Mexico St.	L	71-74	41%
Jan 18, 2025	152	UTEP	L	73-76	41%
Jan 25, 2025	110	Liberty	L	68-74	31%
Jan 30, 2025	202	@ Jacksonville St.	L	67-73	30%
Feb 01, 2025	176	@ Kennesaw St.	L	80-88	26%
Feb 06, 2025	119	Sam Houston St.	L	71-76	33%
Feb 08, 2025	108	Louisiana Tech	L	68-74	30%
Feb 13, 2025	152	@ UTEP	L	70-79	23%
Feb 15, 2025	161	@ New Mexico St.	L	68-77	24%
Feb 22, 2025	110	@ Liberty	L	65-77	16%
Feb 27, 2025	176	Kennesaw St.	L	83-85	44%
Mar 01, 2025	202	Jacksonville St.	L	70-71	49%
Mar 06, 2025	115	@ Western Kentucky	L	77-89	17%
Mar 08, 2025	197	@ Middle Tennessee	L	67-74	29%
Projected Record						10 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.8	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.4	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0							4.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.7	2.7	1.1	0.1	0.0								5.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.4	3.7	1.5	0.1	0.0									8.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.7	3.1	4.7	2.1	0.2											10.8	7th
8th				0.2	1.5	4.6	5.5	2.4	0.2	0.0											14.5	8th
9th		0.1	1.0	3.8	6.6	6.1	2.2	0.2	0.0												20.0	9th
10th	2.3	5.7	8.1	7.9	4.4	1.5	0.2														30.1	10th

Total	2.3	5.8	9.2	11.9	12.5	12.8	11.5	10.0	8.1	5.9	4.1	2.7	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	93.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	92.4%	0.2		0.1	0.0
14-4	64.7%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	33.4%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	9.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%															0.0
17-1	0.0%		42.9%	26.2%	16.7%	10.2									0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0				0.0		22.6%
16-2	0.1%		38.9%	35.4%	3.5%	11.1										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		5.4%
15-3	0.2%		18.2%	16.9%	1.3%	12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		1.5%
14-4	0.4%		18.3%	17.9%	0.5%	12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4		0.6%
13-5	0.9%		14.6%	14.6%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.8
12-6	1.5%		11.9%	11.9%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.4
11-7	2.7%		7.2%	7.2%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	2.5
10-8	4.1%		3.7%	3.7%		14.0														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	3.9
9-9	5.9%		3.4%	3.4%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.7
8-10	8.1%		2.7%	2.7%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.9
7-11	10.0%		0.9%	0.9%		15.7																0.0	0.1	9.9
6-12	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	11.5
5-13	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-14	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
3-15	11.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
2-16	9.2%																							9.2
1-17	5.8%																							5.8
0-18	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	14.1									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.3	98.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%