Preseason Rankings
Furman
Southern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#104
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 18.1% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 64.7% 81.0% 55.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.8% 83.6% 70.0%
Conference Champion 16.6% 23.1% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round13.1% 17.9% 10.5%
Second Round1.7% 2.7% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 144   @ Belmont L 76-80 35%    
  Nov 11, 2024 222   Jacksonville W 74-68 71%    
  Nov 15, 2024 175   Tulane W 83-79 63%    
  Nov 23, 2024 280   @ Charleston Southern W 74-71 59%    
  Nov 26, 2024 127   Seattle L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 30, 2024 2   @ Kansas L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 07, 2024 104   Princeton L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 14, 2024 307   South Carolina St. W 80-69 82%    
  Dec 21, 2024 182   @ Harvard L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 01, 2025 238   @ Western Carolina W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 04, 2025 188   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 08, 2025 325   @ The Citadel W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 153   Wofford W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 15, 2025 170   East Tennessee St. W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 18, 2025 147   Chattanooga W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 361   @ VMI W 87-74 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 208   @ Mercer L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 29, 2025 138   Samford W 82-80 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 05, 2025 238   Western Carolina W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 147   @ Chattanooga L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 208   Mercer W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 188   UNC Greensboro W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 138   @ Samford L 79-83 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 361   VMI W 90-71 94%    
  Feb 26, 2025 325   The Citadel W 77-65 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 153   @ Wofford L 72-75 38%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.1 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.4 16.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.6 3.6 1.1 0.1 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.3 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.4 5.2 1.8 0.2 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 4.1 4.0 1.1 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 2.9 0.9 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.4 6.4 8.9 10.3 11.6 11.7 11.6 10.2 8.1 5.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.0
16-2 96.0% 3.2    2.9 0.3 0.0
15-3 80.8% 4.7    3.4 1.3 0.1
14-4 51.0% 4.1    2.0 1.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 20.9% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.6% 16.6 10.8 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 71.1% 67.4% 3.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.4%
17-1 1.5% 54.5% 52.7% 1.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.8%
16-2 3.4% 43.0% 42.7% 0.3% 12.6 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 0.5%
15-3 5.9% 34.9% 34.9% 13.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8
14-4 8.1% 27.8% 27.8% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.8
13-5 10.2% 20.5% 20.5% 14.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 8.1
12-6 11.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 9.9
11-7 11.7% 9.7% 9.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 10.6
10-8 11.6% 6.5% 6.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 10.8
9-9 10.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 9.9
8-10 8.9% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
7-11 6.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.3
6-12 4.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-13 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-14 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.4% 13.3% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.3 3.5 2.5 1.3 86.6 0.1%