Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#246
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.5#72
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#269
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 15.5% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.6 14.8
.500 or above 35.4% 66.7% 34.7%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 73.5% 53.2%
Conference Champion 8.7% 18.2% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 3.1% 10.3%
First Four1.6% 0.6% 1.6%
First Round7.2% 15.4% 7.0%
Second Round0.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 14   @ Tennessee L 62-83 2%    
  Nov 08, 2024 256   @ NC Central L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 11, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 62-79 7%    
  Nov 16, 2024 288   Elon W 75-70 69%    
  Nov 19, 2024 126   @ Charlotte L 62-71 21%    
  Nov 26, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 71-68 59%    
  Nov 29, 2024 144   @ Belmont L 72-80 24%    
  Dec 04, 2024 153   @ Wofford L 68-76 26%    
  Dec 07, 2024 256   NC Central W 73-69 63%    
  Dec 14, 2024 289   Queens W 83-77 68%    
  Dec 17, 2024 209   @ Georgia Southern L 72-77 35%    
  Dec 21, 2024 137   @ East Carolina L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 02, 2025 280   @ Charleston Southern L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 08, 2025 189   Winthrop W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 125   @ High Point L 72-81 22%    
  Jan 15, 2025 269   @ Radford L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 18, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 22, 2025 186   UNC Asheville L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 195   Longwood W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 189   @ Winthrop L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 186   @ UNC Asheville L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 280   Charleston Southern W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 19, 2025 195   @ Longwood L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   High Point L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 269   Radford W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.3 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 8.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.2 2.8 0.9 0.1 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.6 1.6 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.0 5.1 1.5 0.1 13.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.1 1.1 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 9th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.1 6.4 9.1 11.2 12.3 12.4 11.4 10.3 8.1 5.5 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-2 95.2% 1.7    1.4 0.2
13-3 72.1% 2.4    1.6 0.7 0.1
12-4 42.2% 2.3    0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 14.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 5.1 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 61.0% 59.3% 1.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.0%
15-1 0.7% 48.8% 48.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.7% 37.0% 37.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-3 3.4% 29.0% 29.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.4
12-4 5.5% 22.5% 22.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 4.3
11-5 8.1% 16.6% 16.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 6.7
10-6 10.3% 11.1% 11.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 9.1
9-7 11.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 10.5
8-8 12.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.8
7-9 12.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.0
6-10 11.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.0
5-11 9.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.9
4-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-13 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-14 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-15 0.9% 0.9
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.6 92.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%