IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.4	#209
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#97
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#184

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.0%	4.6%	2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.4	14.0

.500 or above	45.3%	51.2%	24.7%
.500 or above in Conference	49.4%	53.4%	35.5%
Conference Champion	4.6%	5.3%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.0%	6.5%	13.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	3.9%	4.5%	2.0%
Second Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 77.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 5	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	306	Northern Illinois	W	78-70	78%
Nov 08, 2024	157	@ UNC Wilmington	L	69-75	30%
Nov 15, 2024	256	NC Central	W	74-72	59%
Nov 16, 2024	189	@ Winthrop	L	72-76	35%
Nov 17, 2024	247	William & Mary	W	73-71	56%
Nov 23, 2024	351	West Georgia	W	80-67	88%
Nov 30, 2024	106	@ Drake	L	68-78	19%
Dec 04, 2024	85	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-76	14%
Dec 07, 2024	254	North Florida	W	77-72	67%
Dec 13, 2024	108	@ Louisiana Tech	L	66-75	21%
Dec 17, 2024	246	Gardner-Webb	W	77-72	65%
Dec 21, 2024	185	@ Texas St.	L	69-74	34%
Jan 02, 2025	296	Louisiana Monroe	W	76-69	73%
Jan 04, 2025	223	South Alabama	W	76-72	62%
Jan 08, 2025	204	@ Georgia St.	L	73-76	39%
Jan 11, 2025	194	@ Marshall	L	75-79	37%
Jan 16, 2025	291	@ Coastal Carolina	W	76-75	54%
Jan 18, 2025	227	@ Old Dominion	L	75-77	43%
Jan 22, 2025	291	Coastal Carolina	W	79-72	73%
Jan 25, 2025	194	Marshall	W	78-76	57%
Jan 30, 2025	129	@ Troy	L	71-79	27%
Feb 01, 2025	236	@ Southern Miss	L	72-74	44%
Feb 05, 2025	156	Louisiana	W	74-73	51%
Feb 13, 2025	107	James Madison	L	73-77	38%
Feb 15, 2025	227	Old Dominion	W	78-74	63%
Feb 20, 2025	139	@ Appalachian St.	L	68-75	28%
Feb 22, 2025	107	@ James Madison	L	70-80	22%
Feb 25, 2025	139	Appalachian St.	L	71-72	47%
Feb 28, 2025	204	Georgia St.	W	76-73	59%
Projected Record						14 - 15	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	2.2	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0			5.6	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.4	2.8	1.8	0.4	0.1					6.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.2	3.4	2.3	0.5	0.0						7.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.5	2.9	0.6	0.0							7.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.0	3.8	0.9	0.1								8.2	6th
7th								0.2	2.2	4.5	1.5	0.1									8.5	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	4.4	2.6	0.2	0.0									8.7	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.7	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.5	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	2.9	3.8	1.1	0.0											8.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.1	3.7	1.5	0.1												7.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.4	1.7	3.1	1.7	0.2	0.0												7.0	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	1.6	2.4	1.5	0.2	0.0													6.3	13th
14th	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0														4.6	14th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.8	3.4	5.3	7.4	9.4	10.8	11.6	11.5	10.4	8.9	7.0	5.1	3.3	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-1	97.8%	0.3		0.3	0.0	0.0
16-2	91.0%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
15-3	69.1%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.4%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	11.3%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.5	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		56.1%	46.2%	9.8%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		18.3%
17-1	0.3%		40.4%	37.0%	3.5%	10.9						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2		5.5%
16-2	0.9%		31.7%	30.7%	1.0%	12.2											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.6		1.5%
15-3	1.9%		23.8%	23.5%	0.2%	12.6												0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1			1.4		0.3%
14-4	3.3%		18.4%	18.4%		13.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	2.7
13-5	5.1%		13.3%	13.3%		13.5													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	4.4
12-6	7.0%		9.5%	9.5%		13.8													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	6.3
11-7	8.9%		5.3%	5.3%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	8.5
10-8	10.4%		2.8%	2.8%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	10.1
9-9	11.5%		1.7%	1.7%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	11.3
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.6
7-11	10.8%		0.6%	0.6%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.7
6-12	9.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
5-13	7.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
4-14	5.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
3-15	3.4%																							3.4
2-16	1.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.0%	4.0%	0.0%	13.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	96.0		0.0%