IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#273
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.0	#325
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#209

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.9%	26.0%	15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	54.1%	81.9%	53.0%
.500 or above in Conference	79.3%	92.2%	78.8%
Conference Champion	19.9%	36.6%	19.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.3%	1.3%

First Four	7.9%	5.1%	8.0%
First Round	12.0%	23.6%	11.6%
Second Round	0.4%	1.3%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 2	1 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 7	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	40	@ Mississippi	L	59-78	4%
Nov 11, 2024	25	@ Florida	L	63-83	3%
Nov 21, 2024	70	@ New Mexico	L	64-81	7%
Nov 24, 2024	46	@ USC	L	59-77	5%
Nov 26, 2024	345	@ Cal Poly	W	65-62	61%
Dec 07, 2024	217	@ Pepperdine	L	65-70	32%
Dec 16, 2024	292	SE Louisiana	W	66-62	64%
Dec 19, 2024	340	Delaware St.	W	69-63	69%
Dec 20, 2024	251	Norfolk St.	L	65-66	46%
Dec 22, 2024	27	@ Cincinnati	L	57-77	4%
Jan 04, 2025	344	@ Prairie View	W	71-68	61%
Jan 06, 2025	261	@ Texas Southern	L	64-67	38%
Jan 11, 2025	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	71-66	65%
Jan 13, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	71-60	82%
Jan 18, 2025	248	@ Southern	L	63-67	36%
Jan 25, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	68-56	83%
Jan 27, 2025	358	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	75-69	69%
Feb 01, 2025	319	Jackson St.	W	70-64	70%
Feb 03, 2025	324	Alcorn St.	W	71-64	72%
Feb 08, 2025	293	@ Alabama St.	L	63-65	45%
Feb 10, 2025	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	69-66	58%
Feb 15, 2025	261	Texas Southern	W	67-64	58%
Feb 17, 2025	344	Prairie View	W	74-65	78%
Feb 22, 2025	248	Southern	W	66-64	55%
Mar 01, 2025	353	@ Florida A&M	W	68-63	65%
Mar 03, 2025	298	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	68-69	45%
Mar 06, 2025	338	Alabama A&M	W	72-63	76%
Mar 08, 2025	293	Alabama St.	W	66-62	64%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.6	4.2	5.8	4.5	2.7	0.8		19.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.7	5.4	4.6	1.9	0.3	0.0			15.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.8	5.3	3.7	0.9	0.0					13.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.4	5.1	3.1	0.5	0.0						11.3	4th
5th									0.2	1.7	4.5	2.8	0.5	0.0							9.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.2	3.7	2.5	0.5	0.0								8.1	6th
7th							0.1	0.9	3.1	2.4	0.5	0.0									7.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	2.2	0.5	0.0										5.9	8th
9th					0.1	0.6	1.6	1.5	0.5	0.0											4.3	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.0												3.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0													1.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.6	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	2.2	3.6	5.3	7.3	8.6	10.3	11.6	11.8	11.2	9.7	7.8	4.8	2.7	0.8			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	99.7%	2.7		2.6	0.0
16-2	93.6%	4.5		3.8	0.8	0.0
15-3	74.8%	5.8		3.8	1.9	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.9%	4.2		1.7	1.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.6%	1.6		0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.9%	19.9		13.0	5.3	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		61.9%	61.9%		13.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3
17-1	2.7%		52.1%	52.1%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	1.3
16-2	4.8%		40.7%	40.7%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.8	2.9
15-3	7.8%		34.3%	34.3%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.6	5.1
14-4	9.7%		27.3%	27.3%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.4	2.1	7.0
13-5	11.2%		19.8%	19.8%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	2.0	9.0
12-6	11.8%		14.7%	14.7%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.7	10.1
11-7	11.6%		10.8%	10.8%		16.0																0.0	1.2	10.3
10-8	10.3%		7.7%	7.7%		16.0																	0.8	9.5
9-9	8.6%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.4	8.2
8-10	7.3%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.2	7.1
7-11	5.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	5.2
6-12	3.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
5-13	2.2%																							2.2
4-14	1.2%																							1.2
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.9%	15.9%	0.0%	15.5											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.8	11.2	84.1		0.0%