Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#348
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#287
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#360
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 4.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 6.4% 29.9% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 15.6% 37.8% 15.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 5.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 35.1% 13.5% 35.3%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 3.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 128 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 44   @ Wisconsin L 56-81 1%    
  Nov 08, 2024 142   @ Rhode Island L 65-81 7%    
  Nov 15, 2024 334   Sacred Heart L 72-73 45%    
  Nov 16, 2024 181   @ Brown L 63-77 10%    
  Nov 17, 2024 305   New Hampshire L 70-75 34%    
  Nov 24, 2024 253   @ Maine L 61-71 18%    
  Nov 29, 2024 57   @ Virginia L 48-72 2%    
  Dec 04, 2024 182   Harvard L 65-73 24%    
  Dec 07, 2024 304   Central Connecticut St. L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 17, 2024 212   @ Quinnipiac L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 20, 2024 339   @ Siena L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 02, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 05, 2025 252   @ American L 61-71 19%    
  Jan 08, 2025 258   Navy L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 59-72 13%    
  Jan 15, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 252   American L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 22, 2025 321   Army L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 27, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   Lehigh L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 321   @ Army L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 266   Boston University L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 12, 2025 171   Colgate L 64-73 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 199   Lafayette L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 23, 2025 258   @ Navy L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 26, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 61-76 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 268   Bucknell L 65-69 37%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 1.3 0.1 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.5 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 5.2 7.5 5.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 22.4 9th
10th 2.1 5.4 7.4 6.3 3.5 0.9 0.1 25.6 10th
Total 2.1 5.5 9.1 11.8 13.2 12.9 12.0 10.1 7.7 5.8 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 80.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 59.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 32.7% 32.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 23.2% 23.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 19.5% 19.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 13.0% 13.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
12-6 1.5% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 2.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.4
10-8 4.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.0
9-9 5.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.6
8-10 7.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.6
7-11 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-12 12.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
5-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-14 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
2-16 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
1-17 5.5% 5.5
0-18 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%