Preseason Rankings
Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace82.7#3
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#249
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 9.3% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 12.9 13.7
.500 or above 36.3% 53.1% 26.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.9% 58.5% 40.2%
Conference Champion 6.8% 10.2% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 7.6% 15.7%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round6.2% 9.1% 4.5%
Second Round0.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Away) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 36 - 77 - 14
Quad 46 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 163   @ California Baptist L 73-77 36%    
  Nov 16, 2024 303   Presbyterian W 85-75 81%    
  Nov 20, 2024 184   Abilene Christian W 82-79 61%    
  Nov 24, 2024 29   Rutgers L 73-82 20%    
  Nov 28, 2024 103   UC Irvine L 78-84 30%    
  Nov 29, 2024 124   Towson L 71-74 40%    
  Nov 30, 2024 118   Kent St. L 77-81 38%    
  Dec 06, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 80-82 45%    
  Dec 18, 2024 98   @ Santa Clara L 79-88 21%    
  Dec 21, 2024 160   @ San Jose St. L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 202   Jacksonville St. W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 197   @ Middle Tennessee L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 115   @ Western Kentucky L 86-93 28%    
  Jan 16, 2025 119   Sam Houston St. L 79-80 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 108   Louisiana Tech L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 23, 2025 161   @ New Mexico St. L 76-80 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 152   @ UTEP L 78-82 37%    
  Jan 30, 2025 110   Liberty L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 275   Florida International W 88-80 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 115   Western Kentucky L 89-90 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 197   Middle Tennessee W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 119   @ Sam Houston St. L 76-82 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 152   UTEP W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 161   New Mexico St. W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 275   @ Florida International W 85-83 56%    
  Mar 02, 2025 110   @ Liberty L 72-79 27%    
  Mar 08, 2025 202   @ Jacksonville St. L 74-76 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 4.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.3 10th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.3 3.9 6.1 8.0 9.6 10.7 11.2 10.8 9.8 8.2 6.6 4.9 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 96.1% 0.9    0.8 0.1
15-3 83.3% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 56.6% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 28.1% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 8.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 65.4% 50.8% 14.6% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.7%
17-1 0.4% 54.0% 45.2% 8.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16.0%
16-2 0.9% 38.8% 34.2% 4.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 7.0%
15-3 1.9% 30.8% 30.1% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1.0%
14-4 3.3% 25.5% 25.3% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 0.3%
13-5 4.9% 18.7% 18.7% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.1%
12-6 6.6% 13.7% 13.7% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.7
11-7 8.2% 8.8% 8.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.5
10-8 9.8% 6.8% 6.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.2
9-9 10.8% 4.8% 4.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.3
8-10 11.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.9
7-11 10.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 9.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
5-13 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
4-14 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 6.4% 6.2% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.7 93.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%