IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.9	#118
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.6	#238
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.3	#133

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.6	#125

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.5%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.5%	28.4%	18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.1	12.7	13.5

.500 or above	83.3%	91.4%	75.6%
.500 or above in Conference	89.5%	93.3%	86.0%
Conference Champion	30.5%	37.1%	24.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.3%	0.8%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.5%
First Round	23.3%	28.2%	18.6%
Second Round	4.2%	5.7%	2.7%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.6%	0.7%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 48.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 4	5 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 3	19 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	156	@ Louisiana	L	70-71	49%
Nov 13, 2024	10	@ Auburn	L	65-81	7%
Nov 21, 2024	308	Niagara	W	76-62	89%
Nov 23, 2024	213	@ Cleveland St.	W	71-68	59%
Nov 28, 2024	124	Towson	W	64-63	52%
Nov 29, 2024	103	UC Irvine	L	69-71	42%
Nov 30, 2024	176	Kennesaw St.	W	81-77	62%
Dec 06, 2024	271	Portland	W	77-66	84%
Dec 15, 2024	362	Mercyhurst	W	81-57	98%
Dec 22, 2024	5	@ Alabama	L	70-88	6%
Jan 04, 2025	240	Ball St.	W	75-65	80%
Jan 07, 2025	306	@ Northern Illinois	W	75-68	74%
Jan 11, 2025	337	@ Buffalo	W	77-66	82%
Jan 14, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	78-64	88%
Jan 18, 2025	233	Miami (OH)	W	74-65	78%
Jan 21, 2025	168	@ Toledo	W	75-74	51%
Jan 25, 2025	121	@ Ohio	L	70-73	41%
Jan 28, 2025	265	Bowling Green	W	76-65	82%
Feb 01, 2025	131	Akron	W	70-66	63%
Feb 04, 2025	287	@ Eastern Michigan	W	71-65	69%
Feb 11, 2025	277	Central Michigan	W	72-61	83%
Feb 15, 2025	121	Ohio	W	73-70	60%
Feb 18, 2025	265	@ Bowling Green	W	73-68	66%
Feb 22, 2025	233	@ Miami (OH)	W	71-68	61%
Feb 25, 2025	168	Toledo	W	78-72	69%
Mar 01, 2025	131	@ Akron	L	67-69	43%
Mar 04, 2025	311	@ Western Michigan	W	75-67	74%
Mar 07, 2025	287	Eastern Michigan	W	74-62	84%
Projected Record						18 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.7	5.1	8.1	8.2	5.1	1.9		30.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.9	6.2	6.7	3.3	0.6				20.1	2nd
3rd											0.4	2.7	5.8	4.3	1.1	0.1					14.5	3rd
4th										0.3	2.1	4.4	2.9	0.6	0.0						10.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.5	3.7	2.2	0.3	0.0							7.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.0	2.5	1.7	0.4	0.0								5.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	1.9	1.5	0.3	0.0									4.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0										3.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.0											1.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0												1.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.7	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.8	4.4	6.0	8.1	10.1	12.2	12.8	13.0	11.5	8.7	5.1	1.9			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.9		1.9
17-1	100.0%	5.1		5.0	0.2
16-2	93.6%	8.2		6.9	1.2	0.0
15-3	70.7%	8.1		5.2	2.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	39.5%	5.1		2.1	2.4	0.7	0.0
13-5	13.2%	1.7		0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	30.5%	30.5		21.5	7.1	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.9%		71.0%	66.4%	4.6%	9.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.6		13.7%
17-1	5.1%		58.1%	56.3%	1.8%	11.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.7	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0		2.2		4.0%
16-2	8.7%		46.4%	46.2%	0.3%	12.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.7	1.4	0.5	0.0		4.7		0.5%
15-3	11.5%		36.5%	36.5%	0.0%	13.0											0.0	0.1	1.1	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0	7.3		0.1%
14-4	13.0%		28.4%	28.4%		13.4												0.0	0.5	1.4	1.3	0.4	0.0	9.3
13-5	12.8%		21.7%	21.7%		13.9												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.6	0.1	10.0
12-6	12.2%		16.1%	16.1%		14.3													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	10.3
11-7	10.1%		12.2%	12.2%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	8.9
10-8	8.1%		8.5%	8.5%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	7.4
9-9	6.0%		5.7%	5.7%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	5.7
8-10	4.4%		3.4%	3.4%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.2
7-11	2.8%		1.6%	1.6%		15.8																0.0	0.0	2.7
6-12	1.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
5-13	0.9%																							0.9
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		23.5%	23.3%	0.2%	13.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.5	5.3	6.6	5.3	2.9	1.0	76.5		0.3%