IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.3	#156
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#118
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#190

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#141

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.0%	11.6%	6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	12.8	13.4

.500 or above	65.7%	77.1%	53.8%
.500 or above in Conference	69.9%	76.6%	62.8%
Conference Champion	12.0%	15.3%	8.5%
Last Place in Conference	3.4%	2.0%	4.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	8.9%	11.6%	6.2%
Second Round	1.5%	2.0%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 3	5 - 6	6 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 4	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	118	Kent St.	W	71-70	51%
Nov 13, 2024	3	@ Houston	L	55-76	2%
Nov 19, 2024	211	Rice	W	74-68	70%
Nov 22, 2024	110	Liberty	L	67-70	38%
Nov 30, 2024	215	Nicholls St.	W	74-68	70%
Dec 07, 2024	108	Louisiana Tech	L	68-69	48%
Dec 11, 2024	292	SE Louisiana	W	74-64	80%
Dec 14, 2024	283	Lamar	W	77-68	79%
Dec 18, 2024	139	Appalachian St.	W	71-69	57%
Dec 22, 2024	99	McNeese St.	L	69-71	42%
Jan 02, 2025	291	@ Coastal Carolina	W	76-72	63%
Jan 04, 2025	204	@ Georgia St.	L	72-73	48%
Jan 09, 2025	227	Old Dominion	W	77-70	71%
Jan 11, 2025	296	Louisiana Monroe	W	76-66	80%
Jan 16, 2025	134	@ Arkansas St.	L	72-77	35%
Jan 18, 2025	296	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	73-69	63%
Jan 22, 2025	185	Texas St.	W	71-67	64%
Jan 25, 2025	236	Southern Miss	W	75-68	71%
Jan 30, 2025	185	@ Texas St.	L	68-70	44%
Feb 01, 2025	223	South Alabama	W	75-69	70%
Feb 05, 2025	209	@ Georgia Southern	L	73-74	49%
Feb 12, 2025	129	Troy	W	74-73	54%
Feb 15, 2025	194	Marshall	W	77-72	65%
Feb 20, 2025	129	@ Troy	L	71-76	35%
Feb 22, 2025	236	@ Southern Miss	W	72-71	53%
Feb 26, 2025	134	Arkansas St.	W	75-74	55%
Feb 28, 2025	223	@ South Alabama	W	73-72	51%
Projected Record						15 - 12	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.2	2.7	3.5	2.8	1.3	0.4		12.0	1st
2nd												0.3	1.8	3.8	3.7	1.7	0.4	0.0			11.8	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.7	4.3	3.6	0.9	0.1	0.0				10.8	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	4.3	3.3	0.8	0.1						9.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.7	3.8	0.9	0.1							9.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.9	4.0	1.2	0.1								8.4	6th
7th								0.1	1.7	3.8	1.6	0.1									7.2	7th
8th							0.0	0.9	3.5	2.1	0.3										6.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	2.6	2.7	0.4	0.0										6.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.6	2.5	0.8	0.0											5.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	1.1	2.2	1.1	0.1												4.5	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	1.1	0.1	0.0												3.7	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0													2.7	13th
14th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1															1.9	14th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.3	3.8	5.5	7.2	9.2	10.0	11.0	11.3	10.6	9.4	7.3	5.3	3.2	1.4	0.4			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
17-1	97.7%	1.3		1.2	0.1
16-2	86.3%	2.8		2.2	0.5	0.0
15-3	65.1%	3.5		2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	36.4%	2.7		1.0	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.4%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.0%	12.0		7.1	3.6	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		60.5%	45.8%	14.6%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		27.0%
17-1	1.4%		46.3%	42.6%	3.7%	11.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.7		6.4%
16-2	3.2%		34.8%	34.0%	0.9%	12.1										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0		2.1		1.3%
15-3	5.3%		26.9%	26.8%	0.2%	12.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.9		0.2%
14-4	7.3%		20.1%	20.1%		13.0												0.0	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	5.9
13-5	9.4%		15.3%	15.3%		13.4												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	7.9
12-6	10.6%		10.8%	10.8%		13.8													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	9.5
11-7	11.3%		7.2%	7.2%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	10.5
10-8	11.0%		3.3%	3.3%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	10.6
9-9	10.0%		1.8%	1.8%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.9
8-10	9.2%		1.4%	1.4%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	9.1
7-11	7.2%		0.4%	0.4%		15.7																0.0	0.0	7.2
6-12	5.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	5.5
5-13	3.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
4-14	2.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
3-15	1.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.0%	8.9%	0.1%	13.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	2.2	2.8	2.0	1.0	0.3	91.0		0.2%