IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#296
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#206
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#293

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.4%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.1	14.6

.500 or above	17.4%	45.0%	16.4%
.500 or above in Conference	18.3%	37.6%	17.6%
Conference Champion	0.8%	2.3%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	29.9%	14.7%	30.5%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.9%	2.1%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 9	3 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 7	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	54	@ LSU	L	64-83	3%
Nov 08, 2024	175	@ Tulane	L	73-82	19%
Nov 12, 2024	211	@ Rice	L	66-73	25%
Nov 18, 2024	292	SE Louisiana	W	69-66	60%
Nov 22, 2024	333	@ Northwestern St.	W	71-70	52%
Nov 23, 2024	231	North Alabama	L	71-74	38%
Nov 29, 2024	164	Stephen F. Austin	L	69-73	37%
Dec 02, 2024	145	Texas Arlington	L	72-77	34%
Dec 11, 2024	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-71	81%
Dec 14, 2024	145	@ Texas Arlington	L	69-80	17%
Dec 17, 2024	357	Houston Christian	W	80-70	81%
Dec 21, 2024	227	Old Dominion	L	72-73	48%
Jan 02, 2025	209	@ Georgia Southern	L	69-76	27%
Jan 04, 2025	291	@ Coastal Carolina	L	71-74	39%
Jan 09, 2025	236	@ Southern Miss	L	67-73	30%
Jan 11, 2025	156	@ Louisiana	L	66-76	20%
Jan 15, 2025	129	Troy	L	69-75	31%
Jan 18, 2025	156	Louisiana	L	69-73	37%
Jan 23, 2025	223	South Alabama	L	71-72	47%
Jan 25, 2025	139	Appalachian St.	L	66-71	33%
Jan 30, 2025	223	@ South Alabama	L	68-75	29%
Feb 01, 2025	129	@ Troy	L	66-78	16%
Feb 05, 2025	204	@ Georgia St.	L	68-76	26%
Feb 13, 2025	185	Texas St.	L	67-70	40%
Feb 15, 2025	236	Southern Miss	L	70-71	49%
Feb 19, 2025	185	@ Texas St.	L	64-73	23%
Feb 22, 2025	134	@ Arkansas St.	L	67-79	17%
Feb 25, 2025	107	James Madison	L	68-76	26%
Feb 28, 2025	134	Arkansas St.	L	70-76	32%
Projected Record						10 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.8	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0				1.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	1.3	0.6	0.1							2.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.7	1.0	0.1	0.0							3.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.8	1.6	0.3	0.0								4.0	6th
7th								0.1	1.6	2.4	0.7	0.0	0.0								4.8	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.2	1.3	0.1										5.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	3.3	2.3	0.2											6.8	9th
10th					0.0	0.7	3.5	3.7	0.7	0.0											8.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.8	3.4	4.7	1.4	0.1												10.4	11th
12th			0.1	1.0	3.8	5.5	2.3	0.2	0.0												12.8	12th
13th	0.0	0.3	2.0	4.9	5.8	2.7	0.5	0.0													16.3	13th
14th	1.9	4.8	6.3	4.8	2.2	0.4	0.0														20.4	14th

Total	1.9	5.1	8.4	10.7	12.6	12.7	11.9	10.0	8.4	6.2	4.8	3.3	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	93.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	76.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	46.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	15.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		51.6%	51.6%		12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.1%		40.3%	40.3%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.2%		15.2%	15.2%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
14-4	0.6%		18.4%	18.4%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
13-5	1.1%		10.9%	10.9%		14.2														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.0
12-6	1.9%		8.0%	8.0%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.8
11-7	3.3%		4.3%	4.3%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.1
10-8	4.8%		2.1%	2.1%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.7
9-9	6.2%		1.1%	1.1%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	6.1
8-10	8.4%		0.6%	0.6%		15.8																0.0	0.0	8.3
7-11	10.0%		0.5%	0.5%		15.8																0.0	0.0	10.0
6-12	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
5-13	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
4-14	12.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
3-15	10.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
2-16	8.4%																							8.4
1-17	5.1%																							5.1
0-18	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	14.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%