Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#350
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#272
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.6% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 8.1% 16.8% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 12.8% 19.8% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 40.2% 29.8% 44.0%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 48 - 139 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 230   Columbia L 68-74 27%    
  Nov 12, 2024 343   @ NJIT L 65-69 35%    
  Nov 16, 2024 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-77 2%    
  Nov 19, 2024 114   @ Boston College L 58-77 4%    
  Nov 26, 2024 361   VMI W 77-71 72%    
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 65-62 59%    
  Dec 07, 2024 340   @ Delaware St. L 65-70 34%    
  Dec 14, 2024 270   @ Mount St. Mary's L 63-73 18%    
  Dec 21, 2024 322   Hampton L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 28, 2024 122   @ DePaul L 60-78 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 05, 2025 264   Lehigh L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 08, 2025 321   @ Army L 58-65 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 258   Navy L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 13, 2025 252   American L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 22, 2025 199   Lafayette L 59-67 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 29, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 59-70 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 266   Boston University L 63-68 35%    
  Feb 05, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 56-70 12%    
  Feb 08, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 58-73 10%    
  Feb 12, 2025 321   Army L 61-62 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 252   @ American L 59-70 18%    
  Feb 19, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 60-71 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 171   Colgate L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 26, 2025 268   Bucknell L 62-67 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 258   @ Navy L 59-70 19%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.0 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.6 1.8 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.4 5.4 2.1 0.2 15.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 5.4 7.4 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 22.6 9th
10th 2.7 6.5 8.8 7.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 30.3 10th
Total 2.7 6.7 10.5 13.3 13.3 13.1 11.2 9.4 6.9 5.0 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 88.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 60.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 15.1% 15.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 25.6% 25.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 11.5% 11.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.3% 10.9% 10.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1
11-7 2.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0
10-8 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.2
9-9 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 4.9
8-10 6.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
7-11 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.4
6-12 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
3-15 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
2-16 10.5% 10.5
1-17 6.7% 6.7
0-18 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%