Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#54
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#64
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#50
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#53
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 7.5% 7.7% 1.6%
Top 6 Seed 15.5% 15.9% 3.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.7% 38.5% 14.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 36.3% 37.1% 13.9%
Average Seed 7.1 7.0 8.1
.500 or above 71.2% 72.4% 37.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.2% 38.9% 18.2%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 12.1% 26.0%
First Four3.5% 3.5% 3.0%
First Round35.9% 36.7% 12.7%
Second Round21.8% 22.3% 6.3%
Sweet Sixteen9.2% 9.4% 2.5%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.1% 0.9%
Final Four1.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 33 - 110 - 13
Quad 48 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 296   Louisiana Monroe W 83-64 97%    
  Nov 10, 2024 293   Alabama St. W 81-62 96%    
  Nov 14, 2024 39   @ Kansas St. L 70-75 34%    
  Nov 19, 2024 280   Charleston Southern W 82-64 95%    
  Nov 22, 2024 52   Pittsburgh L 72-73 50%    
  Nov 29, 2024 333   Northwestern St. W 85-62 98%    
  Dec 03, 2024 83   Florida St. W 80-75 68%    
  Dec 08, 2024 206   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-62 90%    
  Dec 14, 2024 78   SMU W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 17, 2024 290   Stetson W 83-64 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 346   New Orleans W 91-67 98%    
  Dec 29, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 84-52 99.8%   
  Jan 04, 2025 89   Vanderbilt W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 07, 2025 58   @ Missouri L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 40   @ Mississippi L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 14, 2025 15   Arkansas L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 19   @ Texas A&M L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 77-89 16%    
  Jan 29, 2025 10   Auburn L 75-79 38%    
  Feb 01, 2025 17   Texas L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 61   @ Georgia L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 40   Mississippi W 76-74 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 15   @ Arkansas L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 55   @ Oklahoma L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 64   South Carolina W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 25   Florida W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 25, 2025 14   Tennessee L 73-75 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 71-76 34%    
  Mar 04, 2025 16   @ Kentucky L 78-85 28%    
  Mar 08, 2025 19   Texas A&M L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.6 0.8 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.0 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.3 0.4 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.2 1.3 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 2.6 0.2 8.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.2 1.2 0.1 8.2 15th
16th 0.4 1.5 2.4 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.6 16th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.4 5.5 7.8 9.7 11.0 11.6 10.9 10.3 8.7 6.8 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 67.7% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
14-4 35.5% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 41.4% 58.6% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 30.2% 69.8% 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 2.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.2% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.4% 99.9% 9.9% 90.0% 4.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 5.2% 98.7% 8.2% 90.6% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-7 6.8% 94.4% 4.6% 89.8% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.4 94.1%
10-8 8.7% 83.3% 2.2% 81.1% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.4 82.9%
9-9 10.3% 63.5% 1.2% 62.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.8 63.1%
8-10 10.9% 33.1% 0.5% 32.6% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.3 32.8%
7-11 11.6% 11.4% 0.4% 11.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.3 11.1%
6-12 11.0% 2.1% 0.1% 1.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7 1.9%
5-13 9.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.2%
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 5.5% 5.5
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 37.7% 2.3% 35.4% 7.1 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 62.3 36.3%