IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.1	#359
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#207
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.2	#362

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.5%	4.6%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	1.1%	9.1%	1.0%
.500 or above in Conference	17.7%	37.7%	17.5%
Conference Champion	1.2%	4.5%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	32.2%	15.5%	32.3%

First Four	1.5%	3.5%	1.5%
First Round	0.6%	3.9%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 11	5 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	89	@ Vanderbilt	L	54-79	1%
Nov 07, 2024	166	@ Penn	L	58-76	5%
Nov 12, 2024	233	@ Miami (OH)	L	59-74	9%
Nov 15, 2024	227	@ Old Dominion	L	62-77	9%
Nov 20, 2024	136	@ Murray St.	L	55-75	4%
Nov 23, 2024	22	@ Illinois	L	56-87	0.3%
Nov 25, 2024	15	@ Arkansas	L	55-87	0.3%
Nov 27, 2024	267	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	63-76	13%
Nov 30, 2024	1	@ Connecticut	L	46-84	0.1%
Dec 05, 2024	195	@ Longwood	L	57-74	8%
Dec 08, 2024	285	Wagner	L	55-61	30%
Dec 28, 2024	38	@ Maryland	L	49-78	1%
Jan 04, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	59-73	12%
Jan 06, 2025	249	Howard	L	65-73	25%
Jan 11, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	60-73	13%
Jan 13, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	L	63-73	19%
Jan 25, 2025	340	Delaware St.	L	66-67	47%
Feb 01, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	L	66-75	22%
Feb 03, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	66-60	70%
Feb 15, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	62-70	26%
Feb 17, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	62-76	12%
Feb 22, 2025	256	NC Central	L	63-70	28%
Feb 24, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	L	66-70	36%
Mar 01, 2025	320	Morgan St.	L	69-72	39%
Mar 03, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	63-62	51%
Mar 06, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	L	63-70	28%
Projected Record						5 - 21	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd								0.0	0.5	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0				2.7	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.0	2.3	1.3	0.2	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	1.9	4.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						8.2	4th
5th				0.0	0.6	3.8	6.0	2.6	0.2								13.1	5th
6th			0.1	1.9	6.7	7.9	3.0	0.2	0.0								19.8	6th
7th		0.9	6.0	10.9	8.4	2.4	0.2										28.8	7th
8th	3.0	7.1	7.1	3.4	0.8	0.0											21.5	8th

Total	3.0	8.0	13.2	16.3	16.3	14.3	11.2	7.8	4.9	2.8	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
12-2	90.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0
11-3	63.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
10-4	32.8%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-5	5.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
13-1	0.1%		43.5%	43.5%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.0
12-2	0.2%		26.7%	26.7%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.1
11-3	0.5%		23.5%	23.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.4
10-4	1.4%		12.3%	12.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	1.2
9-5	2.8%		6.8%	6.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	2.6
8-6	4.9%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.2	4.7
7-7	7.8%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.2	7.6
6-8	11.2%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	11.0
5-9	14.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	14.1
4-10	16.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	16.3
3-11	16.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	16.2
2-12	13.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
1-13	8.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
0-14	3.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.0

Total	100%		1.5%	1.5%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	1.5	98.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.2%