Preseason Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#116
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#125
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 12.3
.500 or above 60.9% 64.0% 33.0%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 56.7% 36.3%
Conference Champion 6.0% 6.4% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 6.4% 14.5%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round5.3% 5.6% 2.0%
Second Round1.7% 1.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 89.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 36 - 59 - 13
Quad 48 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   New Hampshire W 81-68 90%    
  Nov 08, 2024 65   @ West Virginia L 69-78 21%    
  Nov 12, 2024 108   Louisiana Tech L 69-70 46%    
  Nov 16, 2024 155   Hofstra W 73-67 69%    
  Nov 23, 2024 130   Temple W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 24, 2024 83   Florida St. L 74-78 35%    
  Nov 27, 2024 182   @ Harvard W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 01, 2024 343   NJIT W 80-62 94%    
  Dec 04, 2024 304   Central Connecticut St. W 77-64 88%    
  Dec 07, 2024 143   Umass Lowell W 77-72 66%    
  Dec 18, 2024 220   Northeastern W 75-66 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 73   Arizona St. L 71-76 35%    
  Dec 31, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 133   Richmond W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 08, 2025 59   Dayton L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 159   @ Fordham L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 19, 2025 173   La Salle W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 22, 2025 150   George Washington W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 29, 2025 142   @ Rhode Island L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 128   @ Duquesne L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 04, 2025 94   Saint Louis L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 09, 2025 173   @ La Salle W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 135   Davidson W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 120   St. Bonaventure W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 19, 2025 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 150   @ George Washington L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 142   Rhode Island W 77-72 65%    
  Mar 05, 2025 120   @ St. Bonaventure L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 08, 2025 100   Loyola Chicago W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.2 1.3 0.1 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.2 0.2 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.1 1.1 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 0.9 0.0 6.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.2 15th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.5 6.3 8.4 10.1 10.9 11.0 10.9 9.8 8.0 6.2 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0 0.0
16-2 89.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.6% 1.8    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.0% 1.6    0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.2% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 97.9% 47.9% 50.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.0%
17-1 0.5% 71.8% 33.6% 38.2% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 57.5%
16-2 1.4% 51.7% 26.8% 24.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 34.0%
15-3 2.5% 33.9% 22.0% 11.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 15.2%
14-4 4.2% 22.1% 17.9% 4.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 5.1%
13-5 6.2% 13.5% 12.6% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.3 1.0%
12-6 8.0% 8.1% 7.9% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 0.2%
11-7 9.8% 5.1% 5.0% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.3 0.1%
10-8 10.9% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.5 0.0%
9-9 11.0% 1.3% 1.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
7-11 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 8.4
5-13 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 6.3
4-14 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.6% 4.5% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 94.4 1.2%