Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#233
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.1#185
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 8.8% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 50.4% 71.4% 44.1%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 71.7% 55.5%
Conference Champion 6.4% 10.7% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 2.4% 6.2%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round5.3% 8.6% 4.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 23.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 139   @ Appalachian St. L 64-72 23%    
  Nov 09, 2024 196   Wright St. W 78-77 54%    
  Nov 12, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-59 91%    
  Nov 18, 2024 30   @ Michigan L 62-80 5%    
  Nov 25, 2024 339   Siena W 70-62 75%    
  Dec 02, 2024 229   Air Force W 67-64 60%    
  Dec 06, 2024 20   @ Indiana L 62-81 5%    
  Dec 18, 2024 111   @ Vermont L 60-70 19%    
  Dec 22, 2024 334   Sacred Heart W 77-67 81%    
  Jan 04, 2025 337   Buffalo W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 07, 2025 240   @ Ball St. L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 76-68 74%    
  Jan 14, 2025 306   @ Northern Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 118   @ Kent St. L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 21, 2025 265   Bowling Green W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   @ Akron L 63-72 24%    
  Jan 28, 2025 287   Eastern Michigan W 71-65 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 121   Ohio L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 04, 2025 277   @ Central Michigan L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 11, 2025 168   Toledo L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 311   @ Western Michigan W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 18, 2025 287   @ Eastern Michigan L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 118   Kent St. L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 25, 2025 306   Northern Illinois W 75-68 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 121   @ Ohio L 67-76 22%    
  Mar 04, 2025 337   @ Buffalo W 74-70 64%    
  Mar 07, 2025 240   Ball St. W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.8 5.5 7.5 9.4 11.0 11.5 11.6 10.5 9.0 7.0 4.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 91.7% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
15-3 67.1% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.1
14-4 35.8% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 56.9% 48.1% 8.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.0%
17-1 0.5% 40.1% 38.3% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.0%
16-2 1.4% 30.7% 30.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 2.8% 24.7% 24.7% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
14-4 4.8% 16.5% 16.5% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0
13-5 7.0% 14.2% 14.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 6.0
12-6 9.0% 8.7% 8.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 8.2
11-7 10.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 9.9
10-8 11.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.2
9-9 11.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.2
8-10 11.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 9.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.4
6-12 7.5% 7.5
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.4 0.9 94.5 0.0%