Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#40
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.2#218
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#18
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#87
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.0% 2.0% 0.8%
Top 2 Seed 4.7% 4.7% 1.2%
Top 4 Seed 12.9% 13.0% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 22.6% 22.7% 3.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.5% 49.7% 16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 47.5% 47.7% 16.2%
Average Seed 6.7 6.7 8.1
.500 or above 76.0% 76.2% 35.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 49.0% 21.9%
Conference Champion 4.4% 4.5% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 8.1% 23.9%
First Four4.7% 4.7% 3.5%
First Round47.2% 47.4% 15.4%
Second Round30.3% 30.5% 6.4%
Sweet Sixteen13.7% 13.8% 1.9%
Elite Eight6.1% 6.2% 0.8%
Final Four2.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Championship Game1.1% 1.1% 0.4%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 24 - 39 - 12
Quad 33 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 352   LIU Brooklyn W 88-61 99%    
  Nov 08, 2024 273   Grambling St. W 78-59 96%    
  Nov 12, 2024 223   South Alabama W 82-65 94%    
  Nov 16, 2024 84   Colorado St. W 72-68 63%    
  Nov 21, 2024 225   Oral Roberts W 82-65 94%    
  Nov 28, 2024 32   BYU L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 03, 2024 50   @ Louisville L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 07, 2024 349   Lindenwood W 85-59 99%    
  Dec 14, 2024 236   Southern Miss W 79-65 89%    
  Dec 17, 2024 248   Southern W 79-61 94%    
  Dec 21, 2024 289   Queens W 90-70 96%    
  Dec 28, 2024 42   @ Memphis L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 61   Georgia W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 08, 2025 15   @ Arkansas L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 54   LSU W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 14, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 76-86 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 70-74 39%    
  Jan 22, 2025 19   Texas A&M W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 58   @ Missouri L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 29, 2025 17   Texas W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 10   Auburn L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 04, 2025 16   Kentucky W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 54   @ LSU L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 64   @ South Carolina L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 33   Mississippi St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 89   @ Vanderbilt W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 26, 2025 10   @ Auburn L 72-80 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 55   Oklahoma W 74-70 64%    
  Mar 05, 2025 14   Tennessee L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 25   @ Florida L 77-81 37%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.5 0.7 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.1 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.9 3.3 0.5 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 1.4 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 3.4 2.3 0.2 6.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 1.0 0.0 6.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.7 15th
16th 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.6 16th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.2 3.6 5.5 7.7 9.4 10.7 11.2 11.1 10.3 8.7 6.8 5.1 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.2% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 35.2% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 49.7% 50.3% 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 34.5% 65.5% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 100.0% 29.7% 70.3% 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.1% 100.0% 23.1% 76.9% 2.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.4% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 3.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.1% 99.8% 13.0% 86.8% 4.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 6.8% 99.1% 7.8% 91.3% 5.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.1%
11-7 8.7% 95.0% 4.8% 90.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 94.7%
10-8 10.3% 86.4% 2.8% 83.7% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.4 86.0%
9-9 11.1% 67.7% 1.6% 66.1% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 67.2%
8-10 11.2% 38.9% 0.7% 38.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.8 38.4%
7-11 10.7% 13.7% 0.3% 13.4% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.2 13.5%
6-12 9.4% 3.0% 0.1% 2.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1 2.9%
5-13 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.4%
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 49.5% 3.8% 45.7% 6.7 2.0 2.8 3.8 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.7 5.7 5.2 4.8 4.7 0.8 0.0 50.5 47.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.3 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0