IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-19.9	#364
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.9	#328
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-12.8	#364

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.1	#361

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	4.2%	0.0%	4.2%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	58.6%	75.0%	58.6%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 11
Quad 4	4 - 13	4 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	8	@ Iowa St.	L	44-83	0.0%
Nov 14, 2024	58	@ Missouri	L	50-82	0.2%
Nov 16, 2024	17	@ Texas	L	47-83	0.1%
Nov 19, 2024	39	@ Kansas St.	L	47-81	0.1%
Nov 26, 2024	77	@ Utah	L	52-82	0.4%
Nov 29, 2024	167	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	55-78	2%
Dec 07, 2024	110	@ Liberty	L	49-76	1%
Dec 18, 2024	86	@ North Texas	L	43-73	0.4%
Dec 21, 2024	148	@ Tulsa	L	56-80	2%
Dec 29, 2024	54	@ LSU	L	52-84	0.2%
Jan 04, 2025	293	@ Alabama St.	L	55-71	9%
Jan 06, 2025	338	@ Alabama A&M	L	60-72	16%
Jan 11, 2025	344	Prairie View	L	65-70	33%
Jan 13, 2025	261	Texas Southern	L	58-70	16%
Jan 18, 2025	298	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	59-75	9%
Jan 20, 2025	353	@ Florida A&M	L	59-69	21%
Jan 25, 2025	273	Grambling St.	L	56-68	17%
Jan 27, 2025	248	Southern	L	57-70	14%
Feb 01, 2025	358	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	66-75	24%
Feb 08, 2025	319	@ Jackson St.	L	59-73	12%
Feb 10, 2025	324	@ Alcorn St.	L	59-73	13%
Feb 15, 2025	338	Alabama A&M	L	63-69	31%
Feb 17, 2025	293	Alabama St.	L	58-68	20%
Feb 22, 2025	261	@ Texas Southern	L	55-73	7%
Feb 24, 2025	344	@ Prairie View	L	62-73	18%
Mar 01, 2025	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	69-72	41%
Mar 06, 2025	324	Alcorn St.	L	62-70	27%
Mar 08, 2025	319	Jackson St.	L	62-70	25%
Projected Record						4 - 24	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0						0.4	3rd
4th										0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1									1.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.2	0.0									1.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	0.4	0.1										3.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.3	2.1	0.9	0.1											4.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.0	3.1	1.6	0.1	0.0											7.3	9th
10th			0.1	1.1	3.7	4.7	2.5	0.4	0.0												12.4	10th
11th		0.7	3.6	7.1	6.9	3.0	0.5	0.0													21.7	11th
12th	8.2	14.1	13.3	7.8	2.6	0.4	0.0														46.5	12th

Total	8.2	14.8	16.9	16.0	13.7	10.3	7.5	5.1	3.3	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	53.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	38.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	24.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%		18.5%	18.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
14-4	0.1%		13.6%	13.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
13-5	0.1%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
12-6	0.3%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
11-7	0.6%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
10-8	1.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
9-9	2.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
8-10	3.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
7-11	5.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
6-12	7.5%																							7.5
5-13	10.3%																							10.3
4-14	13.7%																							13.7
3-15	16.0%																							16.0
2-16	16.9%																							16.9
1-17	14.8%																							14.8
0-18	8.2%																							8.2

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	16.0																	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.1%