Preseason Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#266
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 26.8% 16.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 59.9% 84.7% 57.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.2% 89.9% 75.1%
Conference Champion 21.3% 36.5% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.1% 3.8%
First Four2.0% 0.9% 2.1%
First Round16.1% 26.3% 15.3%
Second Round1.5% 3.8% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 34   @ Oregon L 64-79 8%    
  Nov 13, 2024 14   @ Tennessee L 63-81 5%    
  Nov 18, 2024 81   @ Utah St. L 68-79 15%    
  Nov 24, 2024 317   Denver W 81-71 83%    
  Nov 25, 2024 276   Utah Tech W 77-70 74%    
  Nov 27, 2024 239   Cal St. Northridge W 79-73 69%    
  Dec 04, 2024 178   South Dakota St. W 73-70 59%    
  Dec 07, 2024 201   @ St. Thomas L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 16, 2024 112   @ Northern Iowa L 66-74 25%    
  Dec 21, 2024 82   @ San Francisco L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 02, 2025 262   @ Eastern Washington W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 279   @ Idaho W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 09, 2025 286   Northern Arizona W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 11, 2025 226   Northern Colorado W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 16, 2025 179   @ Weber St. L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 315   @ Idaho St. W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 20, 2025 279   Idaho W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 149   Montana St. W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 257   Portland St. W 75-68 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 300   Sacramento St. W 71-62 78%    
  Feb 06, 2025 226   @ Northern Colorado L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 286   @ Northern Arizona W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 315   Idaho St. W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 15, 2025 179   Weber St. W 71-68 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   @ Montana St. L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 27, 2025 300   @ Sacramento St. W 68-65 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 257   @ Portland St. W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 03, 2025 262   Eastern Washington W 79-72 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.9 5.4 4.2 2.0 0.6 21.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.7 3.6 1.2 0.2 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.8 0.9 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.0 7.7 9.3 10.8 11.5 11.3 10.8 8.8 6.6 4.4 2.0 0.6 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
16-2 95.6% 4.2    3.8 0.4
15-3 81.4% 5.4    4.2 1.1 0.0
14-4 55.5% 4.9    2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 28.1% 3.0    1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1
12-6 8.4% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.3% 21.3 14.7 5.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 68.7% 66.0% 2.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.0%
17-1 2.0% 55.5% 55.5% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.1%
16-2 4.4% 47.7% 47.7% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-3 6.6% 39.6% 39.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 4.0
14-4 8.8% 32.2% 32.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.2 6.0
13-5 10.8% 23.9% 23.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 8.2
12-6 11.3% 16.4% 16.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 9.5
11-7 11.5% 12.3% 12.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 10.1
10-8 10.8% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.8
9-9 9.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 8.7
8-10 7.7% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.4
7-11 6.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.8
6-12 4.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.2
5-13 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.1% 17.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 4.1 4.6 3.9 82.9 0.0%