Preseason Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#258
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.4#298
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 16.7% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 52.7% 78.5% 50.4%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 80.8% 62.6%
Conference Champion 11.3% 20.9% 10.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.8% 5.0%
First Four2.6% 2.2% 2.7%
First Round8.3% 15.5% 7.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 414 - 816 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-77 8%    
  Nov 08, 2024 182   Harvard L 66-67 46%    
  Nov 12, 2024 241   Rider W 69-67 58%    
  Nov 17, 2024 301   Campbell W 69-64 68%    
  Nov 19, 2024 212   Quinnipiac W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 29, 2024 166   @ Penn L 64-72 25%    
  Nov 30, 2024 288   Elon W 69-67 55%    
  Dec 01, 2024 253   Maine L 63-64 49%    
  Dec 07, 2024 343   @ NJIT W 68-64 63%    
  Dec 15, 2024 74   @ Virginia Tech L 61-76 9%    
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 69-58 82%    
  Dec 29, 2024 247   @ William & Mary L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 02, 2025 252   American W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 05, 2025 199   Lafayette L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 08, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 11, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 15, 2025 171   Colgate L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 22, 2025 266   Boston University W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 26, 2025 321   @ Army W 62-61 53%    
  Jan 29, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 268   Bucknell W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 05, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 60-66 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 264   Lehigh W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 321   Army W 65-58 72%    
  Feb 19, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 62-70 26%    
  Feb 23, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 26, 2025 252   @ American L 62-65 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 70-59 81%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.0 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 11.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.0 4.6 6.7 8.5 10.3 11.2 11.7 10.8 9.8 7.9 5.9 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.2% 1.9    1.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.8% 3.0    2.1 0.8 0.1
14-4 51.4% 3.0    1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.3% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 6.9 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 63.1% 61.8% 1.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4%
17-1 0.8% 51.9% 51.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.0% 40.7% 40.7% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2
15-3 3.8% 31.2% 31.2% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.6
14-4 5.9% 24.5% 24.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 4.4
13-5 7.9% 20.4% 20.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 6.3
12-6 9.8% 14.3% 14.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.4
11-7 10.8% 9.2% 9.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 9.8
10-8 11.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.0
9-9 11.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
8-10 10.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 10.0
7-11 8.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-12 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.5 90.3 0.0%