IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#231
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#158
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#168

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.2%	15.0%	8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	14.9

.500 or above	61.2%	76.5%	51.6%
.500 or above in Conference	72.0%	80.6%	66.6%
Conference Champion	13.8%	18.8%	10.7%
Last Place in Conference	2.9%	1.5%	3.8%

First Four	1.5%	1.3%	1.6%
First Round	10.4%	14.3%	8.0%
Second Round	0.6%	1.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 7	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	229	@ Air Force	L	66-69	39%
Nov 11, 2024	323	Tennessee Martin	W	84-75	80%
Nov 15, 2024	138	Samford	L	80-82	43%
Nov 18, 2024	10	@ Auburn	L	65-88	2%
Nov 23, 2024	296	Louisiana Monroe	W	74-71	62%
Nov 24, 2024	333	@ Northwestern St.	W	75-71	64%
Dec 01, 2024	153	@ Wofford	L	69-76	28%
Dec 04, 2024	336	Tennessee Tech	W	75-65	82%
Dec 11, 2024	137	@ East Carolina	L	66-74	24%
Dec 19, 2024	280	Charleston Southern	W	75-70	67%
Dec 22, 2024	141	@ Loyola Marymount	L	68-76	26%
Jan 02, 2025	299	Bellarmine	W	74-67	72%
Jan 04, 2025	255	Eastern Kentucky	W	78-74	64%
Jan 09, 2025	206	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	67-71	36%
Jan 11, 2025	290	@ Stetson	W	73-72	51%
Jan 16, 2025	222	@ Jacksonville	L	69-72	39%
Jan 18, 2025	254	@ North Florida	L	74-76	44%
Jan 23, 2025	158	Lipscomb	L	77-78	48%
Jan 25, 2025	281	Austin Peay	W	73-68	67%
Jan 29, 2025	289	@ Queens	W	81-80	51%
Feb 01, 2025	341	Central Arkansas	W	80-69	82%
Feb 05, 2025	281	@ Austin Peay	L	70-71	48%
Feb 08, 2025	351	@ West Georgia	W	76-70	70%
Feb 13, 2025	254	North Florida	W	77-73	64%
Feb 15, 2025	222	Jacksonville	W	72-69	58%
Feb 18, 2025	351	West Georgia	W	79-67	84%
Feb 20, 2025	158	@ Lipscomb	L	74-81	29%
Feb 24, 2025	341	@ Central Arkansas	W	77-72	66%
Feb 26, 2025	289	Queens	W	83-77	69%
Projected Record						16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.6	3.5	3.9	2.8	1.3	0.4		13.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.9	4.6	3.5	1.4	0.2	0.0			13.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	3.2	5.1	3.0	0.7	0.0	0.0				12.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	3.2	5.3	2.4	0.4	0.0						11.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.4	5.0	2.5	0.3	0.0							10.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.8	4.3	2.5	0.3	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.4	3.8	2.6	0.4	0.0									8.3	7th
8th						0.1	0.9	2.8	2.6	0.5	0.0										6.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.6	2.2	2.1	0.5	0.0											5.5	9th
10th				0.1	0.5	1.5	1.6	0.5	0.0												4.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.0													3.0	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.0	3.2	5.2	6.9	9.0	10.2	11.7	11.9	11.1	9.5	7.6	5.3	3.0	1.3	0.4			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	99.8%	1.3		1.3	0.0
16-2	93.2%	2.8		2.4	0.5	0.0
15-3	73.5%	3.9		2.6	1.2	0.1
14-4	45.4%	3.5		1.5	1.5	0.4	0.0
13-5	16.8%	1.6		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.8%	13.8		8.5	3.9	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		59.5%	59.5%		12.2					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-1	1.3%		49.0%	49.0%		12.9								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0		0.7
16-2	3.0%		40.8%	40.8%		13.5												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	1.8
15-3	5.3%		30.0%	30.0%		14.1													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	3.7
14-4	7.6%		26.0%	26.0%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.2	5.6
13-5	9.5%		18.4%	18.4%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.4	7.8
12-6	11.1%		12.7%	12.7%		15.3														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	9.7
11-7	11.9%		8.9%	8.9%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	10.8
10-8	11.7%		6.6%	6.6%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.6	10.9
9-9	10.2%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.9
8-10	9.0%		1.9%	1.9%		15.9																0.0	0.2	8.8
7-11	6.9%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
6-12	5.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
5-13	3.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
4-14	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.2%	11.2%	0.0%	14.6					0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.4	2.6	3.5	3.1	88.8		0.0%