Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#271
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#163
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#323
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.8 12.7
.500 or above 10.4% 17.8% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 10.7% 15.5% 7.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 19.4% 30.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 32 - 63 - 15
Quad 46 - 49 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 167   UC Santa Barbara L 73-75 41%    
  Nov 12, 2024 34   @ Oregon L 64-83 4%    
  Nov 16, 2024 245   @ Long Beach St. L 76-80 35%    
  Nov 21, 2024 102   South Florida L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 01, 2024 317   Denver W 81-75 70%    
  Dec 06, 2024 118   @ Kent St. L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 10, 2024 205   UMKC L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 18, 2024 278   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-67 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 199   Lafayette L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 28, 2024 91   Washington St. L 65-74 23%    
  Dec 30, 2024 123   @ Oregon St. L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 02, 2025 6   @ Gonzaga L 65-90 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 09, 2025 82   @ San Francisco L 64-80 9%    
  Jan 16, 2025 314   Pacific W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 91   @ Washington St. L 62-77 11%    
  Jan 23, 2025 282   San Diego W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 6   Gonzaga L 68-87 6%    
  Jan 30, 2025 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-77 22%    
  Feb 01, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 98   Santa Clara L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 123   Oregon St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 141   Loyola Marymount L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 57-76 6%    
  Feb 22, 2025 314   @ Pacific L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 217   Pepperdine W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 282   @ San Diego L 75-78 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 4.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 6.6 7.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 19.8 9th
10th 0.3 3.3 7.7 6.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 20.9 10th
11th 1.8 4.9 5.9 3.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 17.3 11th
Total 1.8 5.2 9.2 12.9 15.1 14.6 12.8 10.3 7.5 4.9 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 53.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 15.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 40.0% 20.0% 20.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 25.0%
15-3 0.0% 28.2% 14.1% 14.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.4%
14-4 0.1% 15.8% 15.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 4.4% 4.3% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1%
12-6 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.1%
10-8 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
9-9 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
8-10 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 7.5
7-11 10.3% 10.3
6-12 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 15.1% 15.1
3-15 12.9% 12.9
2-16 9.2% 9.2
1-17 5.2% 5.2
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%