Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#344
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.3#34
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#346
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 6.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 7.4% 24.2% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 40.3% 62.1% 39.1%
Conference Champion 3.0% 7.0% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 3.1% 9.5%
First Four2.4% 3.6% 2.3%
First Round1.9% 4.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 122   @ DePaul L 66-83 5%    
  Nov 12, 2024 329   @ Incarnate Word L 75-80 33%    
  Nov 18, 2024 78   @ SMU L 64-86 2%    
  Nov 20, 2024 250   @ Fresno St. L 65-75 17%    
  Nov 23, 2024 226   @ Northern Colorado L 73-84 16%    
  Nov 30, 2024 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-80 15%    
  Dec 06, 2024 88   @ UAB L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 08, 2024 33   @ Mississippi St. L 60-86 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-80 9%    
  Dec 17, 2024 23   @ UCLA L 55-82 1%    
  Dec 22, 2024 211   @ Rice L 67-79 15%    
  Dec 29, 2024 55   @ Oklahoma L 61-85 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 273   Grambling St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 06, 2025 248   Southern L 69-74 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 13, 2025 358   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79-80 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 319   Jackson St. L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 20, 2025 324   Alcorn St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 293   @ Alabama St. L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 27, 2025 338   @ Alabama A&M L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 01, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 68-78 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 298   Bethune-Cookman L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 10, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 75-70 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 248   @ Southern L 66-77 19%    
  Feb 17, 2025 273   @ Grambling St. L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 358   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-77 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 73-62 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 324   @ Alcorn St. L 72-77 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 319   @ Jackson St. L 71-77 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 261   Texas Southern L 71-75 38%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.7 0.8 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.6 3.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.5 7.1 9.5 11.2 11.6 11.9 11.1 9.3 7.4 5.2 3.6 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 93.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 73.2% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.1% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.1% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 54.3% 54.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 44.2% 44.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 30.6% 30.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 22.6% 22.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.1% 18.4% 18.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7
13-5 3.6% 12.4% 12.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.2
12-6 5.2% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.8
11-7 7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.9
10-8 9.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.9
9-9 11.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.8
8-10 11.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.7
7-11 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 9.5% 9.5
4-14 7.1% 7.1
3-15 4.5% 4.5
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.8 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%