IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.1	#142
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#103
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.8	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	3.9%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.3	11.2	12.2

.500 or above	52.1%	58.8%	30.8%
.500 or above in Conference	40.1%	44.1%	27.3%
Conference Champion	3.0%	3.5%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.7%	10.4%	20.0%

First Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	3.1%	3.7%	1.1%
Second Round	0.9%	1.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 6	8 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 2	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	237	Fairfield	W	78-70	76%
Nov 08, 2024	348	Holy Cross	W	81-65	93%
Nov 20, 2024	199	Lafayette	W	72-66	70%
Nov 24, 2024	117	College of Charleston	W	79-78	54%
Nov 27, 2024	342	Detroit Mercy	W	80-67	87%
Nov 28, 2024	145	Texas Arlington	W	78-77	51%
Dec 02, 2024	113	Yale	W	70-69	52%
Dec 07, 2024	48	Providence	L	70-76	31%
Dec 10, 2024	181	@ Brown	L	73-74	46%
Dec 15, 2024	304	Central Connecticut St.	W	78-66	84%
Dec 21, 2024	130	Temple	L	72-73	46%
Dec 31, 2024	128	@ Duquesne	L	69-73	37%
Jan 04, 2025	96	George Mason	L	68-70	44%
Jan 08, 2025	150	George Washington	W	81-77	62%
Jan 11, 2025	133	@ Richmond	L	70-74	38%
Jan 15, 2025	100	@ Loyola Chicago	L	70-77	27%
Jan 18, 2025	135	Davidson	W	71-69	58%
Jan 21, 2025	85	Virginia Commonwealth	L	69-72	40%
Jan 25, 2025	173	@ La Salle	L	72-73	45%
Jan 29, 2025	116	Massachusetts	W	75-74	54%
Feb 05, 2025	159	@ Fordham	L	73-75	43%
Feb 08, 2025	96	@ George Mason	L	65-73	26%
Feb 12, 2025	120	St. Bonaventure	W	72-71	55%
Feb 15, 2025	173	La Salle	W	75-70	65%
Feb 22, 2025	94	@ Saint Louis	L	74-82	26%
Feb 26, 2025	59	Dayton	L	67-72	34%
Mar 01, 2025	116	@ Massachusetts	L	72-77	35%
Mar 05, 2025	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	71-80	24%
Mar 08, 2025	159	Fordham	W	76-72	63%
Projected Record						15 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.9	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	2.0	1.3	0.4	0.0					4.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.8	2.4	1.9	0.4	0.0						5.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.4	2.5	0.5	0.0							5.9	5th
6th									0.1	1.7	3.4	0.9	0.1								6.2	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	3.9	1.9	0.2	0.0								7.0	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.5	3.2	0.4	0.0									7.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	2.2	4.3	1.1	0.0										7.7	9th
10th						0.1	1.3	4.2	2.2	0.1											7.9	10th
11th					0.0	0.8	3.6	3.4	0.5	0.0											8.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.4	2.7	4.0	1.1	0.0												8.3	12th
13th			0.0	0.4	2.3	3.6	1.8	0.1	0.0												8.3	13th
14th		0.1	0.7	2.2	3.2	1.8	0.2	0.0													8.1	14th
15th	0.3	1.3	2.2	2.3	1.3	0.3	0.0														7.7	15th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.9	5.0	7.2	9.2	11.0	11.4	11.6	10.4	9.1	7.1	5.5	3.7	2.4	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	89.4%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	68.4%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-4	36.2%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	12.2%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.0%	3.0		1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		89.1%	67.4%	21.7%	4.9			0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0										0.0		66.7%
17-1	0.2%		80.8%	41.0%	39.7%	6.6			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		67.4%
16-2	0.5%		52.7%	27.9%	24.8%	9.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.2		34.4%
15-3	1.3%		34.9%	19.8%	15.1%	10.5				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.8		18.8%
14-4	2.4%		22.9%	17.9%	5.0%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0				1.8		6.1%
13-5	3.7%		14.1%	13.1%	1.0%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			3.2		1.2%
12-6	5.5%		8.9%	8.6%	0.3%	12.0											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			5.0		0.3%
11-7	7.1%		4.6%	4.5%	0.0%	12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.7		0.0%
10-8	9.1%		2.6%	2.6%		12.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.9
9-9	10.4%		1.0%	1.0%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			10.3
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.5
7-11	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.4
6-12	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
5-13	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		15.8																0.0	0.0	9.2
4-14	7.2%																							7.2
3-15	5.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		3.2%	2.7%	0.6%	11.3			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	96.8		0.6%