Preseason Rankings
Rice
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#211
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#274
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#171
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#258
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.6
.500 or above 28.6% 34.9% 13.2%
.500 or above in Conference 18.8% 21.9% 11.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 23.8% 36.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Home) - 71.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 85 - 15
Quad 48 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 275   Florida International W 77-71 71%    
  Nov 09, 2024 83   Florida St. L 69-79 18%    
  Nov 12, 2024 296   Louisiana Monroe W 73-66 75%    
  Nov 16, 2024 333   Northwestern St. W 76-65 84%    
  Nov 19, 2024 156   @ Louisiana L 68-74 30%    
  Nov 22, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 80-71 78%    
  Nov 29, 2024 155   Hofstra L 67-70 40%    
  Nov 30, 2024 134   Arkansas St. L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 01, 2024 210   Iona L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 08, 2024 185   @ Texas St. L 66-71 34%    
  Dec 16, 2024 324   Alcorn St. W 76-66 80%    
  Dec 22, 2024 344   Prairie View W 79-67 85%    
  Jan 01, 2025 148   @ Tulsa L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 04, 2025 126   Charlotte L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 86   @ North Texas L 56-69 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 130   Temple L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 14, 2025 232   Texas San Antonio W 78-74 62%    
  Jan 19, 2025 97   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-78 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 175   Tulane W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 28, 2025 102   @ South Florida L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 02, 2025 42   Memphis L 71-81 20%    
  Feb 05, 2025 137   @ East Carolina L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 126   @ Charlotte L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 11, 2025 86   North Texas L 59-66 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 175   @ Tulane L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 88   UAB L 69-76 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 148   Tulsa L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 42   @ Memphis L 68-84 9%    
  Mar 02, 2025 232   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-77 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 105   Wichita St. L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 1.5 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.4 2.4 0.2 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 4.9 6.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.3 12th
13th 1.4 3.9 6.0 4.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 18.7 13th
Total 1.4 4.1 7.5 10.4 12.0 13.1 12.6 11.0 9.2 6.9 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 71.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 47.6% 47.6% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 47.9% 38.9% 9.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8%
15-3 0.3% 22.6% 14.8% 7.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.1%
14-4 0.6% 13.1% 10.7% 2.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.6%
13-5 1.1% 8.6% 8.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 1.9% 5.5% 5.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
10-8 4.8% 2.1% 2.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
9-9 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
8-10 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
7-11 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
5-13 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-15 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
2-16 7.5% 7.5
1-17 4.1% 4.1
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%