IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.7	#292
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.3	#317
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	7.4%	3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	34.3%	64.8%	32.3%
.500 or above in Conference	58.8%	78.8%	57.5%
Conference Champion	3.2%	7.2%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	1.0%	4.2%

First Four	0.8%	0.6%	0.8%
First Round	3.0%	7.2%	2.8%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 7	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2024	88	@ UAB	L	62-79	6%
Nov 12, 2024	33	@ Mississippi St.	L	57-78	3%
Nov 18, 2024	296	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	66-69	40%
Nov 22, 2024	177	@ Wyoming	L	64-73	21%
Nov 26, 2024	246	Gardner-Webb	L	68-71	41%
Dec 02, 2024	175	@ Tulane	L	70-79	21%
Dec 05, 2024	215	@ Nicholls St.	L	64-71	27%
Dec 11, 2024	156	@ Louisiana	L	64-74	20%
Dec 16, 2024	273	@ Grambling St.	L	62-66	36%
Dec 30, 2024	99	@ McNeese St.	L	60-75	10%
Jan 04, 2025	219	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	68-69	47%
Jan 06, 2025	284	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	74-72	58%
Jan 11, 2025	346	@ New Orleans	W	74-72	58%
Jan 13, 2025	164	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	64-74	21%
Jan 18, 2025	333	@ Northwestern St.	W	69-68	53%
Jan 20, 2025	355	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	68-64	64%
Jan 25, 2025	329	Incarnate Word	W	74-68	70%
Jan 27, 2025	357	Houston Christian	W	78-68	81%
Feb 01, 2025	346	New Orleans	W	77-69	75%
Feb 03, 2025	283	Lamar	W	70-68	57%
Feb 08, 2025	329	@ Incarnate Word	W	72-71	50%
Feb 10, 2025	357	@ Houston Christian	W	75-71	64%
Feb 15, 2025	215	Nicholls St.	L	67-68	47%
Feb 17, 2025	99	McNeese St.	L	63-72	23%
Feb 22, 2025	355	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	71-61	80%
Feb 24, 2025	333	Northwestern St.	W	72-65	71%
Mar 01, 2025	219	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	65-72	29%
Mar 03, 2025	284	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	71-75	38%
Projected Record						12 - 16	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.9	2.7	1.8	0.7	0.1				8.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.6	3.4	3.6	1.7	0.4	0.0					11.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	3.7	1.3	0.1							12.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.8	5.2	3.5	0.9	0.1								13.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.0	5.0	3.0	0.5	0.0									12.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.8	4.6	2.5	0.5	0.0										10.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.5	3.8	2.0	0.3	0.0											9.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	2.2	3.2	1.7	0.2	0.0												7.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.5	1.8	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0													6.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.2	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0																2.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.4	3.9	5.9	7.3	9.1	10.4	11.0	11.2	10.3	8.7	6.9	4.9	3.1	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	84.7%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
17-3	57.8%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.0
16-4	27.6%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	9.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.7	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		47.7%	47.7%		12.0										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
19-1	0.2%		38.5%	38.5%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
18-2	0.7%		32.4%	32.4%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
17-3	1.7%		23.7%	23.7%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.3
16-4	3.1%		20.5%	20.5%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	2.5
15-5	4.9%		13.6%	13.6%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	4.3
14-6	6.9%		6.4%	6.4%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	6.5
13-7	8.7%		4.2%	4.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	8.4
12-8	10.3%		2.9%	2.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.0
11-9	11.2%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.1
10-10	11.0%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.9
9-11	10.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
8-12	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
7-13	7.3%																							7.3
6-14	5.9%																							5.9
5-15	3.9%																							3.9
4-16	2.4%																							2.4
3-17	1.4%																							1.4
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	15.0										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.4	96.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%