IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.0	#339
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#263
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-8.0	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#276

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	2.2%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	10.4%	22.1%	6.6%
.500 or above in Conference	20.2%	31.6%	16.5%
Conference Champion	1.0%	2.3%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	27.6%	17.4%	30.8%

First Four	0.7%	1.1%	0.5%
First Round	0.7%	1.6%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 12	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	181	Brown	L	63-70	24%
Nov 08, 2024	169	@ Bryant	L	66-80	10%
Nov 12, 2024	252	American	L	62-65	37%
Nov 16, 2024	259	@ Albany	L	69-78	21%
Nov 20, 2024	28	@ Xavier	L	59-85	1%
Nov 25, 2024	233	Miami (OH)	L	62-70	25%
Nov 30, 2024	268	Bucknell	L	61-67	31%
Dec 06, 2024	308	@ Niagara	L	64-70	30%
Dec 08, 2024	297	@ Canisius	L	62-69	27%
Dec 17, 2024	120	St. Bonaventure	L	60-71	18%
Dec 20, 2024	348	Holy Cross	W	68-64	64%
Dec 30, 2024	172	@ Cornell	L	67-81	12%
Jan 03, 2025	331	Manhattan	W	68-66	56%
Jan 05, 2025	210	Iona	L	64-70	32%
Jan 10, 2025	212	@ Quinnipiac	L	65-76	17%
Jan 16, 2025	334	Sacred Heart	W	71-68	59%
Jan 18, 2025	243	@ Merrimack	L	59-69	20%
Jan 23, 2025	270	Mount St. Mary's	L	66-69	41%
Jan 25, 2025	210	@ Iona	L	61-73	17%
Jan 31, 2025	235	@ Marist	L	56-67	19%
Feb 02, 2025	212	Quinnipiac	L	68-73	33%
Feb 06, 2025	214	St. Peter's	L	58-63	33%
Feb 08, 2025	241	@ Rider	L	62-72	20%
Feb 14, 2025	235	Marist	L	59-64	36%
Feb 16, 2025	334	@ Sacred Heart	L	68-71	39%
Feb 21, 2025	308	Niagara	L	66-67	49%
Feb 23, 2025	297	Canisius	L	65-66	46%
Mar 02, 2025	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	63-72	24%
Mar 06, 2025	237	Fairfield	L	66-70	36%
Mar 08, 2025	331	@ Manhattan	L	65-69	37%
Projected Record						9 - 21	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			1.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0						2.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.0	4th
5th										0.1	0.9	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0								4.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.9	2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0									5.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.0	0.7	2.6	2.4	0.5	0.0										6.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	2.8	3.2	0.9	0.1											7.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.7	2.9	3.9	1.5	0.1	0.0											9.1	9th
10th					0.1	1.0	3.2	4.5	2.0	0.2	0.0												10.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.1	4.9	2.3	0.4	0.0													13.4	11th
12th		0.1	0.7	2.7	4.8	5.0	2.2	0.4	0.0														15.9	12th
13th	1.0	3.1	5.0	5.3	3.5	1.5	0.2	0.0															19.6	13th

Total	1.0	3.1	5.7	8.2	9.9	11.6	11.4	10.7	9.8	8.4	6.5	4.9	3.5	2.4	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	99.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	83.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	63.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	34.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	14.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		42.9%	42.9%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.1%		30.8%	30.8%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.2%		28.7%	28.7%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.4%		17.5%	17.5%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
15-5	0.9%		12.1%	12.1%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8
14-6	1.4%		9.8%	9.8%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.3
13-7	2.4%		6.5%	6.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.2
12-8	3.5%		5.4%	5.4%		15.9																0.0	0.2	3.3
11-9	4.9%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																0.0	0.1	4.7
10-10	6.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	6.4
9-11	8.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
8-12	9.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
7-13	10.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-14	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
5-15	11.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
4-16	9.9%																							9.9
3-17	8.2%																							8.2
2-18	5.7%																							5.7
1-19	3.1%																							3.1
0-20	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%