Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#248
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#154
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#310
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#146
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.4% 24.9% 16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 54.9% 69.6% 43.5%
.500 or above in Conference 86.0% 91.2% 81.9%
Conference Champion 27.3% 34.2% 21.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.0%
First Four7.5% 7.2% 7.7%
First Round16.7% 21.2% 13.1%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 414 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 274   @ South Dakota L 72-74 44%    
  Nov 07, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 68-85 5%    
  Nov 13, 2024 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 70-63 73%    
  Nov 20, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 59-79 4%    
  Nov 30, 2024 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 61-72 16%    
  Dec 07, 2024 148   @ Tulsa L 68-76 25%    
  Dec 17, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 61-79 6%    
  Dec 20, 2024 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-72 24%    
  Dec 22, 2024 46   @ USC L 62-79 7%    
  Dec 30, 2024 51   @ Nebraska L 62-79 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 06, 2025 344   @ Prairie View W 74-69 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 73-61 85%    
  Jan 13, 2025 298   Bethune-Cookman W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 273   Grambling St. W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 358   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 27, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-57 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 324   Alcorn St. W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 03, 2025 319   Jackson St. W 73-65 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 338   @ Alabama A&M W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 10, 2025 293   @ Alabama St. L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 344   Prairie View W 77-66 81%    
  Feb 17, 2025 261   Texas Southern W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 273   @ Grambling St. L 64-66 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 298   @ Bethune-Cookman L 70-71 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 353   @ Florida A&M W 70-64 69%    
  Mar 06, 2025 293   Alabama St. W 69-63 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 338   Alabama A&M W 75-65 78%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.2 7.7 6.8 4.1 1.4 27.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.9 5.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 17.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.4 4.0 1.0 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.6 5.4 7.2 9.2 10.9 11.9 12.3 11.7 10.0 7.2 4.1 1.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 99.9% 4.1    4.0 0.1
16-2 93.5% 6.8    5.7 1.0 0.0
15-3 76.7% 7.7    5.0 2.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.8% 5.2    2.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 1.8    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.3% 27.3 18.8 6.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 64.9% 64.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5
17-1 4.1% 52.3% 52.2% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.9 0.1%
16-2 7.2% 45.6% 45.6% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.7 3.9
15-3 10.0% 35.8% 35.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.6 6.4
14-4 11.7% 27.9% 27.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 8.4
13-5 12.3% 21.0% 21.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.2 9.7
12-6 11.9% 15.8% 15.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 10.1
11-7 10.9% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 1.3 9.6
10-8 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.4
9-9 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.5 6.7
8-10 5.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.3
7-11 3.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.6
6-12 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.4% 20.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 4.9 11.4 79.6 0.0%