Preseason Rankings
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#120
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#294
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#136
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.2% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 11.6
.500 or above 63.7% 68.9% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 53.1% 34.4%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.5% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.2% 15.0%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round5.1% 5.8% 2.1%
Second Round1.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 58 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 239   Cal St. Northridge W 78-69 81%    
  Nov 09, 2024 297   @ Canisius W 71-64 72%    
  Nov 13, 2024 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 66-64 57%    
  Nov 16, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 76-60 93%    
  Nov 28, 2024 81   Utah St. L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 04, 2024 268   @ Bucknell W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 07, 2024 337   Buffalo W 79-62 92%    
  Dec 14, 2024 48   Providence L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 17, 2024 339   @ Siena W 71-60 82%    
  Dec 21, 2024 308   Niagara W 75-62 87%    
  Dec 31, 2024 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 159   @ Fordham L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 94   @ Saint Louis L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 173   La Salle W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 15, 2025 133   Richmond W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 128   @ Duquesne L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 21, 2025 96   George Mason L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 24, 2025 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 28, 2025 59   Dayton L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 159   Fordham W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 04, 2025 100   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 09, 2025 150   George Washington W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 12, 2025 142   @ Rhode Island L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 116   @ Massachusetts L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 128   Duquesne W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-74 27%    
  Mar 05, 2025 116   Massachusetts W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 135   @ Davidson L 65-67 43%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.0 1.3 0.1 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.1 0.2 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 1.2 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.2 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 0.9 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.0 14th
15th 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.0 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.7 5.3 7.4 9.2 10.6 11.3 11.1 10.4 8.8 7.2 5.2 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.8    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 70.0% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.2% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 97.6% 47.1% 50.6% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.6%
17-1 0.4% 89.2% 32.3% 56.9% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.0%
16-2 0.9% 67.7% 32.5% 35.2% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 52.1%
15-3 2.0% 44.4% 23.4% 21.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 27.5%
14-4 3.5% 26.4% 17.6% 8.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.6 10.7%
13-5 5.2% 16.7% 13.7% 3.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.3 3.6%
12-6 7.2% 9.4% 8.7% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.5 0.8%
11-7 8.8% 5.3% 5.1% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.3%
10-8 10.4% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.1 0.0%
9-9 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
8-10 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
5-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.4
4-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.5% 3.9% 1.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.5 1.6%