IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.9	#261
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#153
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#197

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.3%	28.7%	16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	46.3%	76.8%	45.3%
.500 or above in Conference	84.9%	94.4%	84.6%
Conference Champion	24.2%	41.6%	23.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.0%	0.9%

First Four	9.1%	7.9%	9.1%
First Round	13.1%	25.4%	12.7%
Second Round	0.5%	1.6%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 3	2 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 6	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	28	@ Xavier	L	65-85	3%
Nov 10, 2024	61	@ Georgia	L	62-79	6%
Nov 12, 2024	80	@ Georgia Tech	L	63-78	8%
Nov 17, 2024	138	@ Samford	L	73-82	20%
Nov 24, 2024	70	@ New Mexico	L	68-84	8%
Dec 01, 2024	185	Texas St.	L	67-68	46%
Dec 07, 2024	119	@ Sam Houston St.	L	64-75	17%
Dec 14, 2024	75	@ Nevada	L	61-76	9%
Dec 17, 2024	63	@ Boise St.	L	60-77	8%
Dec 21, 2024	184	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-74	27%
Jan 04, 2025	248	Southern	W	69-67	57%
Jan 06, 2025	273	Grambling St.	W	67-64	62%
Jan 11, 2025	358	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-72	70%
Jan 13, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-58	84%
Jan 18, 2025	324	Alcorn St.	W	74-67	74%
Jan 20, 2025	319	Jackson St.	W	74-67	71%
Jan 25, 2025	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	73-70	60%
Jan 27, 2025	293	@ Alabama St.	L	67-68	46%
Feb 01, 2025	344	Prairie View	W	78-68	79%
Feb 08, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	74-63	82%
Feb 10, 2025	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	74-69	66%
Feb 15, 2025	273	@ Grambling St.	L	64-67	42%
Feb 17, 2025	248	@ Southern	L	66-70	38%
Feb 22, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	73-55	93%
Feb 24, 2025	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-69	84%
Mar 01, 2025	319	@ Jackson St.	W	71-70	52%
Mar 03, 2025	324	@ Alcorn St.	W	71-70	55%
Mar 08, 2025	344	@ Prairie View	W	75-71	62%
Projected Record						13 - 15	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.9	4.8	6.8	6.0	3.4	1.0		24.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.7	5.8	5.7	2.3	0.4	0.0			17.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.7	5.5	4.0	0.9	0.1					13.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.3	5.1	3.2	0.6	0.0	0.0					11.4	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	4.1	2.9	0.5	0.0							9.3	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	3.2	2.5	0.4	0.0								7.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	2.4	2.3	0.5	0.0									5.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	1.7	1.7	0.5	0.0										4.3	8th
9th					0.1	0.3	1.1	1.3	0.4	0.0											3.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0												2.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.4	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.5	2.5	4.1	5.7	7.8	9.7	11.6	12.2	12.3	11.4	9.2	6.3	3.4	1.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.0		1.0
17-1	99.9%	3.4		3.3	0.1
16-2	93.9%	6.0		5.0	0.9	0.0
15-3	73.9%	6.8		4.4	2.1	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.2%	4.8		2.0	2.1	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.8%	1.9		0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0			0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	24.2%	24.2		16.1	6.2	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.0%		62.8%	62.8%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.4
17-1	3.4%		50.9%	50.9%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.6
16-2	6.3%		40.7%	40.7%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	3.8
15-3	9.2%		34.0%	34.0%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.2	6.0
14-4	11.4%		25.0%	25.0%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.4	2.4	8.6
13-5	12.3%		19.1%	19.1%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	2.2	9.9
12-6	12.2%		13.3%	13.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.6	10.5
11-7	11.6%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0																0.0	1.1	10.4
10-8	9.7%		6.7%	6.7%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.1
9-9	7.8%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.4	7.5
8-10	5.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.1	5.6
7-11	4.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.0
6-12	2.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
5-13	1.5%																							1.5
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		17.3%	17.3%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.9	12.4	82.7		0.0%