IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.6	#175
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	79.8	#10
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.1	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#230

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	2.1%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.2	12.1	12.9

.500 or above	44.7%	49.9%	22.5%
.500 or above in Conference	34.4%	37.5%	21.5%
Conference Champion	2.1%	2.4%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	15.7%	13.6%	24.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	1.7%	2.0%	0.6%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 81.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 3	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	296	Louisiana Monroe	W	82-73	81%
Nov 11, 2024	324	Alcorn St.	W	84-72	86%
Nov 15, 2024	165	@ Furman	L	79-83	37%
Nov 19, 2024	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	85-76	80%
Nov 22, 2024	346	New Orleans	W	91-77	90%
Dec 02, 2024	292	SE Louisiana	W	79-70	79%
Dec 07, 2024	96	@ George Mason	L	69-78	21%
Dec 10, 2024	236	Southern Miss	W	81-75	70%
Dec 14, 2024	83	Florida St.	L	79-87	25%
Dec 31, 2024	126	@ Charlotte	L	68-74	31%
Jan 04, 2025	232	Texas San Antonio	W	87-81	70%
Jan 07, 2025	88	@ UAB	L	76-86	19%
Jan 11, 2025	102	South Florida	L	76-79	40%
Jan 15, 2025	97	Florida Atlantic	L	78-81	39%
Jan 19, 2025	130	@ Temple	L	74-80	32%
Jan 25, 2025	211	@ Rice	L	77-78	47%
Jan 30, 2025	42	Memphis	L	80-88	25%
Feb 02, 2025	148	Tulsa	W	83-81	55%
Feb 05, 2025	232	@ Texas San Antonio	L	84-85	50%
Feb 08, 2025	86	@ North Texas	L	64-75	19%
Feb 15, 2025	211	Rice	W	80-75	66%
Feb 19, 2025	137	East Carolina	W	75-74	53%
Feb 23, 2025	105	@ Wichita St.	L	75-83	25%
Feb 26, 2025	126	Charlotte	W	72-71	51%
Mar 01, 2025	148	@ Tulsa	L	80-84	36%
Mar 06, 2025	137	@ East Carolina	L	72-77	34%
Mar 09, 2025	88	UAB	L	79-83	36%
Projected Record						13 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.1	1.1	0.2	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.4	2.6	1.4	0.2	0.0						5.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.2	3.3	1.8	0.2	0.0							6.6	5th
6th								0.0	1.1	3.6	2.6	0.4	0.0								7.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.6	3.3	0.7	0.0									8.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	3.4	4.3	1.1	0.0										9.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.7	1.7	0.1											9.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.4	4.9	2.5	0.2	0.0											10.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.4	2.5	5.0	2.6	0.4	0.0												10.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.8	2.8	4.2	2.5	0.4	0.0													10.8	12th
13th	0.4	1.8	3.1	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0														10.1	13th

Total	0.4	1.8	3.9	6.2	8.6	10.5	11.3	11.7	11.1	9.4	8.2	6.2	4.6	2.9	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	97.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	90.1%	0.3		0.3	0.0	0.0
15-3	64.1%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	37.4%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.1%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		87.5%	37.5%	50.0%	5.9				0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0			0.0						0.0		80.0%
17-1	0.1%		59.2%	21.8%	37.4%	9.0					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		47.8%
16-2	0.3%		41.5%	26.3%	15.2%	10.3					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		20.6%
15-3	0.9%		21.6%	16.1%	5.5%	11.1					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.7		6.6%
14-4	1.7%		14.9%	13.4%	1.6%	11.8											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.5		1.8%
13-5	2.9%		9.0%	8.7%	0.3%	12.1												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			2.7		0.3%
12-6	4.6%		6.2%	6.2%		12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.3
11-7	6.2%		4.3%	4.2%	0.0%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.9		0.0%
10-8	8.2%		1.8%	1.8%		13.3													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.0
9-9	9.4%		1.0%	1.0%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.4
8-10	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.0
7-11	11.7%		0.4%	0.4%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.7
6-12	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3
5-13	10.5%		0.1%	0.1%		15.7																0.0	0.0	10.5
4-14	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
3-15	6.2%																							6.2
2-16	3.9%																							3.9
1-17	1.8%																							1.8
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		1.8%	1.6%	0.2%	12.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	98.2		0.2%