IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tulsa
American Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.8	#148
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.8	#40
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.6	#154

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	3.3%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.7	11.7	13.0

.500 or above	52.3%	53.9%	19.9%
.500 or above in Conference	44.3%	45.4%	22.2%
Conference Champion	3.1%	3.2%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.5%	10.0%	22.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	3.0%	3.1%	0.9%
Second Round	0.8%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 2	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	89-71	95%
Nov 13, 2024	225	Oral Roberts	W	79-72	74%
Nov 16, 2024	207	@ Missouri St.	W	74-73	51%
Nov 20, 2024	267	Arkansas Little Rock	W	82-73	79%
Nov 23, 2024	100	@ Loyola Chicago	L	70-78	25%
Dec 04, 2024	87	Oklahoma St.	L	72-75	39%
Dec 07, 2024	248	Southern	W	76-68	75%
Dec 14, 2024	71	Central Florida	L	72-79	27%
Dec 21, 2024	364	Mississippi Valley	W	80-56	98%
Jan 01, 2025	211	Rice	W	77-71	71%
Jan 04, 2025	88	@ UAB	L	73-82	22%
Jan 07, 2025	232	@ Texas San Antonio	W	81-80	54%
Jan 11, 2025	126	Charlotte	W	69-67	55%
Jan 18, 2025	102	@ South Florida	L	70-78	26%
Jan 21, 2025	137	East Carolina	W	72-70	58%
Jan 26, 2025	105	Wichita St.	L	74-75	47%
Jan 29, 2025	88	UAB	L	76-79	40%
Feb 02, 2025	175	@ Tulane	L	81-83	45%
Feb 05, 2025	42	@ Memphis	L	74-87	14%
Feb 08, 2025	97	Florida Atlantic	L	75-77	43%
Feb 12, 2025	130	@ Temple	L	72-76	36%
Feb 15, 2025	232	Texas San Antonio	W	84-77	72%
Feb 19, 2025	86	@ North Texas	L	62-71	22%
Feb 22, 2025	211	@ Rice	W	74-73	51%
Mar 01, 2025	175	Tulane	W	84-80	64%
Mar 04, 2025	130	Temple	W	75-73	56%
Mar 09, 2025	105	@ Wichita St.	L	71-78	29%
Projected Record						14 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.6	2.7	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0				6.5	3rd
4th										0.2	1.7	3.6	1.8	0.3	0.0						7.6	4th
5th									0.1	1.4	4.1	2.3	0.4	0.0							8.3	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.2	3.1	0.5	0.0								9.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.6	3.9	0.7	0.0									9.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	3.2	4.5	1.3	0.1										9.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.4	4.7	1.9	0.1											9.4	9th
10th					0.2	2.0	4.3	2.4	0.3	0.0											9.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	2.0	3.9	2.5	0.4	0.0												9.1	11th
12th		0.0	0.5	1.9	3.1	2.0	0.4	0.0													7.9	12th
13th	0.2	0.9	1.9	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0													6.4	13th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.4	4.3	6.5	8.4	10.0	11.4	11.6	11.1	10.0	8.3	6.1	4.3	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	98.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	85.9%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	65.5%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-4	33.9%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.3%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.6	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		66.3%	32.6%	33.7%	5.9		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		50.0%
17-1	0.2%		64.9%	25.9%	39.0%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		52.6%
16-2	0.6%		46.1%	27.3%	18.7%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.3		25.8%
15-3	1.4%		30.4%	22.6%	7.8%	10.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.0		10.0%
14-4	2.4%		17.6%	14.3%	3.2%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			2.0		3.8%
13-5	4.3%		11.0%	10.8%	0.3%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			3.8		0.3%
12-6	6.1%		8.1%	8.0%	0.1%	12.4												0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.6		0.1%
11-7	8.3%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	12.6												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0		7.9		0.0%
10-8	10.0%		2.2%	2.2%		13.0													0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.7
9-9	11.1%		1.3%	1.3%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.9
8-10	11.6%		0.8%	0.8%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.5
7-11	11.4%		0.5%	0.5%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.4
6-12	10.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.0
5-13	8.4%		0.1%	0.1%		15.3															0.0		0.0	8.4
4-14	6.5%																							6.5
3-15	4.3%																							4.3
2-16	2.4%																							2.4
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.2%	2.7%	0.4%	11.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	96.8		0.4%