Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#219
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#110
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#253
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#183
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 17.2% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.2 14.3
.500 or above 65.6% 91.7% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 93.6% 77.8%
Conference Champion 8.8% 20.3% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four0.5% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round8.7% 17.2% 8.5%
Second Round0.7% 2.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 32 - 8
Quad 414 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 12   @ Purdue L 61-82 2%    
  Nov 12, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 70-84 10%    
  Nov 14, 2024 161   @ New Mexico St. L 66-72 29%    
  Nov 21, 2024 323   Tennessee Martin W 82-73 80%    
  Nov 23, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 76-65 83%    
  Nov 30, 2024 344   Prairie View W 80-68 85%    
  Dec 05, 2024 283   Lamar W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 07, 2024 164   Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 50%    
  Dec 15, 2024 192   @ Hawaii L 66-71 35%    
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Houston L 53-78 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 292   @ SE Louisiana W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 06, 2025 346   @ New Orleans W 79-73 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 13, 2025 333   Northwestern St. W 77-66 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 329   @ Incarnate Word W 77-73 62%    
  Jan 20, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 215   Nicholls St. W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 27, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 284   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 03, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 164   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 10, 2025 283   @ Lamar W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 329   Incarnate Word W 80-70 79%    
  Feb 17, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 84-70 88%    
  Feb 22, 2025 99   @ McNeese St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 24, 2025 215   @ Nicholls St. L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 292   SE Louisiana W 72-65 71%    
  Mar 03, 2025 346   New Orleans W 82-70 84%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.6 2.1 1.0 0.3 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 5.1 4.3 2.0 0.4 16.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 5.7 2.9 0.7 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.3 4.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.0 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.2 7.4 9.1 10.7 11.5 11.8 10.8 8.9 6.9 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
18-2 82.6% 2.1    1.6 0.5 0.0
17-3 55.9% 2.6    1.5 1.0 0.1
16-4 28.0% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 8.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 5.4 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 55.3% 55.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.0% 44.9% 44.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
18-2 2.5% 39.8% 39.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
17-3 4.7% 32.2% 32.2% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2
16-4 6.9% 23.7% 23.7% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 5.3
15-5 8.9% 16.8% 16.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 7.4
14-6 10.8% 11.5% 11.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 9.6
13-7 11.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 11.0
12-8 11.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.1
11-9 10.7% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.5
10-10 9.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.0
9-11 7.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.4
8-12 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2
7-13 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 2.6% 2.6
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 2.6 1.4 91.1 0.0%