Preseason Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.2#147
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.0% 30.6% 15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 12.8 14.1
.500 or above 65.1% 92.7% 64.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 91.8% 74.8%
Conference Champion 20.4% 40.7% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.1% 4.0%
First Four1.3% 0.6% 1.3%
First Round15.4% 30.0% 15.1%
Second Round1.4% 4.8% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 412 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 71-93 2%    
  Nov 09, 2024 121   @ Ohio L 71-78 27%    
  Nov 14, 2024 139   Appalachian St. L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 18, 2024 254   @ North Florida W 75-74 53%    
  Nov 22, 2024 327   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-69 78%    
  Nov 24, 2024 341   @ Central Arkansas W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 01, 2024 309   @ Tennessee St. W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 03, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 63-73 19%    
  Dec 14, 2024 238   Western Carolina W 75-69 69%    
  Dec 17, 2024 254   North Florida W 78-71 72%    
  Dec 21, 2024 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 04, 2025 125   High Point L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 08, 2025 195   @ Longwood L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 15, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 77-65 84%    
  Jan 18, 2025 189   Winthrop W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 22, 2025 246   @ Gardner-Webb W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 280   @ Charleston Southern W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 29, 2025 269   Radford W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 05, 2025 246   Gardner-Webb W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 125   @ High Point L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 280   Charleston Southern W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 19, 2025 269   @ Radford W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 195   Longwood W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 26, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 77-68 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 189   @ Winthrop L 72-75 41%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.4 5.9 4.8 2.4 0.8 20.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.5 5.4 2.1 0.4 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.8 3.5 1.1 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.5 6.6 8.7 10.8 12.4 12.8 12.2 10.6 8.1 5.1 2.4 0.8 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 100.0% 2.4    2.3 0.1
14-2 93.0% 4.8    4.0 0.7 0.0
13-3 73.6% 5.9    3.9 1.9 0.1
12-4 41.8% 4.4    1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0
11-5 14.8% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.4% 20.4 13.2 5.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 58.3% 57.3% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1%
15-1 2.4% 52.0% 51.4% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.2%
14-2 5.1% 43.5% 43.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9
13-3 8.1% 35.5% 35.5% 13.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.2
12-4 10.6% 25.8% 25.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 7.8
11-5 12.2% 19.6% 19.6% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.4 9.8
10-6 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 11.1
9-7 12.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 11.3
8-8 10.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.2
7-9 8.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.1 0.3 8.3
6-10 6.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.4
5-11 4.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.4
4-12 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-13 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 4.2 3.8 2.5 84.0 0.0%