Preseason Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#188
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.1#324
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#178
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.5% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.4
.500 or above 56.8% 66.0% 39.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 73.3% 58.6%
Conference Champion 12.8% 15.4% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.1% 2.9%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round10.4% 12.3% 7.0%
Second Round1.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 65.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 411 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 206   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-63 66%    
  Nov 11, 2024 78   @ SMU L 64-75 15%    
  Nov 21, 2024 20   @ Indiana L 61-78 7%    
  Nov 25, 2024 245   Long Beach St. W 74-71 61%    
  Nov 26, 2024 160   San Jose St. L 67-68 46%    
  Nov 27, 2024 152   UTEP L 68-69 45%    
  Dec 03, 2024 125   High Point L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 07, 2024 312   @ N.C. A&T W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 14, 2024 254   @ North Florida W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 21, 2024 288   @ Elon W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 01, 2025 153   @ Wofford L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 165   Furman W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 147   @ Chattanooga L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 138   @ Samford L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 325   The Citadel W 71-60 83%    
  Jan 18, 2025 238   @ Western Carolina L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 22, 2025 208   Mercer W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 361   @ VMI W 80-68 84%    
  Jan 29, 2025 170   East Tennessee St. W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 01, 2025 153   Wofford W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 325   @ The Citadel W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 238   Western Carolina W 71-65 68%    
  Feb 12, 2025 361   VMI W 83-65 93%    
  Feb 15, 2025 165   @ Furman L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 170   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 208   @ Mercer L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 147   Chattanooga W 70-69 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 138   Samford W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.4 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.8 2.7 0.8 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.9 1.4 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.3 1.2 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.1 3.4 0.9 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.9 8.0 9.9 11.3 11.9 11.6 10.2 8.9 6.4 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.2 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 96.9% 2.3    2.0 0.2
15-3 80.9% 3.6    2.5 1.0 0.1
14-4 53.3% 3.4    1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.1% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 65.4% 56.9% 8.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.8%
17-1 1.0% 53.4% 51.6% 1.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3.6%
16-2 2.3% 39.3% 39.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4
15-3 4.4% 35.1% 35.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9
14-4 6.4% 25.9% 25.9% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.8
13-5 8.9% 19.2% 19.2% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 7.2
12-6 10.2% 14.0% 14.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 8.8
11-7 11.6% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 10.4
10-8 11.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.2
9-9 11.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 10.8
8-10 9.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
7-11 8.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
6-12 5.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.8
5-13 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.8% 10.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.3 89.2 0.0%