IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Utah
Big 12
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.4	#77
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.2	#57
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#86

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.9	#72

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.9%	2.9%	0.7%
Top 6 Seed	6.4%	6.6%	1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.0%	23.6%	6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	22.4%	22.9%	6.2%
Average Seed	7.9	7.9	8.5

.500 or above	56.6%	57.7%	24.4%
.500 or above in Conference	26.2%	26.7%	10.2%
Conference Champion	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	16.2%	15.7%	32.1%

First Four	3.4%	3.5%	1.6%
First Round	21.2%	21.7%	5.8%
Second Round	11.9%	12.1%	3.2%
Sweet Sixteen	4.4%	4.5%	0.7%
Elite Eight	1.8%	1.8%	0.3%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 14
Quad 3	2 - 1	9 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 0	17 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	324	Alcorn St.	W	84-64	97%
Nov 07, 2024	341	Central Arkansas	W	86-64	98%
Nov 12, 2024	289	Queens	W	89-72	94%
Nov 17, 2024	33	Mississippi St.	L	71-75	36%
Nov 22, 2024	276	Utah Tech	W	84-68	92%
Nov 26, 2024	364	Mississippi Valley	W	82-52	99.6%
Nov 30, 2024	262	Eastern Washington	W	86-71	91%
Dec 07, 2024	35	St. Mary's	L	66-67	48%
Dec 14, 2024	269	Radford	W	77-61	91%
Dec 17, 2024	353	Florida A&M	W	84-60	98%
Dec 21, 2024	45	Iowa	L	80-83	40%
Dec 31, 2024	9	@ Baylor	L	67-79	16%
Jan 04, 2025	21	Texas Tech	L	72-74	42%
Jan 07, 2025	8	@ Iowa St.	L	65-77	16%
Jan 11, 2025	87	Oklahoma St.	W	74-71	62%
Jan 15, 2025	53	@ TCU	L	74-79	34%
Jan 18, 2025	32	BYU	L	76-77	46%
Jan 21, 2025	3	@ Houston	L	61-75	12%
Jan 25, 2025	9	Baylor	L	70-76	32%
Jan 28, 2025	27	Cincinnati	L	72-73	45%
Feb 01, 2025	87	@ Oklahoma St.	L	71-74	42%
Feb 05, 2025	79	Colorado	W	75-72	60%
Feb 08, 2025	65	@ West Virginia	L	73-77	37%
Feb 11, 2025	27	@ Cincinnati	L	69-76	27%
Feb 15, 2025	2	Kansas	L	72-80	24%
Feb 17, 2025	39	Kansas St.	L	72-73	48%
Feb 23, 2025	71	@ Central Florida	L	72-75	39%
Feb 26, 2025	11	@ Arizona	L	74-86	17%
Mar 01, 2025	73	Arizona St.	W	76-73	59%
Mar 04, 2025	65	West Virginia	W	76-74	56%
Mar 08, 2025	32	@ BYU	L	73-80	28%
Projected Record						16 - 15	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.5	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.9	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.0							3.7	5th
6th										0.0	0.7	2.1	1.4	0.3	0.0								4.5	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	2.2	2.1	0.5	0.0									5.3	7th
8th									0.2	2.0	2.9	0.9	0.1										6.1	8th
9th								0.1	1.6	3.6	1.6	0.2	0.0										7.1	9th
10th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.7	2.6	0.4	0.0											7.8	10th
11th						0.0	0.8	3.5	3.5	0.8	0.0												8.6	11th
12th					0.0	0.5	3.0	4.1	1.5	0.1													9.2	12th
13th				0.0	0.5	2.6	4.5	2.0	0.3	0.0													9.8	13th
14th			0.0	0.5	2.5	4.3	2.5	0.4	0.0														10.3	14th
15th		0.1	0.8	2.7	3.8	2.4	0.5	0.0															10.3	15th
16th	0.5	1.7	2.8	2.9	1.6	0.4	0.0															10.0	16th

Total	0.5	1.8	3.6	6.2	8.4	10.2	11.3	11.3	10.8	9.6	7.9	6.2	4.5	3.2	2.1	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	90.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	63.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
16-4	36.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	9.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	43.5%	56.5%	1.1		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	22.4%	77.6%	1.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	16.1%	83.9%	2.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.6%		100.0%	14.8%	85.2%	3.1		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.3%		100.0%	9.9%	90.1%	4.2		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								100.0%
14-6	2.1%		99.0%	6.8%	92.3%	5.4		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.9%
13-7	3.2%		96.1%	3.3%	92.8%	6.7			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1						0.1		96.0%
12-8	4.5%		88.4%	2.6%	85.8%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0					0.5		88.1%
11-9	6.2%		73.3%	1.1%	72.2%	8.8				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.1					1.7		73.0%
10-10	7.9%		50.8%	0.4%	50.5%	9.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.1	0.1	0.0				3.9		50.6%
9-11	9.6%		22.7%	0.4%	22.3%	10.3							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.0	0.2	0.0				7.4		22.4%
8-12	10.8%		7.3%	0.2%	7.1%	10.8							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0				10.0		7.1%
7-13	11.3%		0.9%	0.0%	0.9%	11.3											0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				11.2		0.9%
6-14	11.3%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	11.0												0.0	0.0					11.2		0.1%
5-15	10.2%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					10.2
4-16	8.4%																							8.4
3-17	6.2%																							6.2
2-18	3.6%																							3.6
1-19	1.8%																							1.8
0-20	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		23.0%	0.8%	22.2%	7.9		0.2	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.6	2.0	2.6	3.1	3.3	3.5	3.5	0.6	0.0				77.0		22.4%