IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
VMI
Southern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.0	#361
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	85.1	#2
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.1	#360

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.9	#359

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.4	15.7

.500 or above	0.3%	1.3%	0.2%
.500 or above in Conference	0.9%	2.3%	0.7%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	75.7%	63.8%	77.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 8	0 - 13
Quad 4	3 - 11	4 - 24

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	299	@ Bellarmine	L	69-81	14%
Nov 15, 2024	336	Tennessee Tech	L	72-77	32%
Nov 18, 2024	52	@ Pittsburgh	L	62-90	1%
Nov 22, 2024	135	@ Davidson	L	64-85	3%
Nov 26, 2024	350	@ Loyola Maryland	L	71-77	28%
Nov 29, 2024	150	@ George Washington	L	74-93	4%
Dec 07, 2024	289	Queens	L	83-89	29%
Dec 21, 2024	133	@ Richmond	L	65-86	3%
Jan 01, 2025	170	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-86	6%
Jan 04, 2025	208	Mercer	L	70-81	18%
Jan 09, 2025	138	@ Samford	L	77-97	4%
Jan 11, 2025	147	@ Chattanooga	L	69-89	5%
Jan 15, 2025	238	Western Carolina	L	72-81	21%
Jan 18, 2025	325	@ The Citadel	L	70-80	21%
Jan 22, 2025	165	Furman	L	74-87	14%
Jan 25, 2025	188	UNC Greensboro	L	68-80	16%
Jan 29, 2025	153	@ Wofford	L	68-87	5%
Feb 01, 2025	238	@ Western Carolina	L	69-84	10%
Feb 05, 2025	170	East Tennessee St.	L	70-83	15%
Feb 08, 2025	325	The Citadel	L	73-77	39%
Feb 12, 2025	188	@ UNC Greensboro	L	65-83	7%
Feb 15, 2025	208	@ Mercer	L	67-84	9%
Feb 19, 2025	153	Wofford	L	71-84	14%
Feb 22, 2025	165	@ Furman	L	71-90	6%
Feb 27, 2025	138	Samford	L	80-94	12%
Mar 01, 2025	147	Chattanooga	L	72-86	13%
Projected Record						3 - 23	2 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0									0.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0									1.3	6th
7th					0.1	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.3	0.0											3.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.4	1.9	2.6	1.7	0.6	0.0	0.0											7.2	8th
9th		1.0	4.7	7.1	5.8	2.7	0.6	0.1													21.9	9th
10th	17.6	22.2	15.5	7.5	2.3	0.4	0.0														65.6	10th

Total	17.6	23.2	20.3	14.9	10.0	6.2	3.5	2.1	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	25.0%	0.0			0.0
13-5	27.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4	0.0%		25.0%	25.0%		15.0																0.0		0.0
13-5	0.0%		15.0%	15.0%		15.0																0.0		0.0
12-6	0.0%		9.8%	9.8%		13.9														0.0		0.0		0.0
11-7	0.1%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.1
10-8	0.2%		1.1%	1.1%		15.2																0.0	0.0	0.2
9-9	0.5%		2.3%	2.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.5
8-10	1.1%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
7-11	2.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
6-12	3.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
5-13	6.2%																							6.2
4-14	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
3-15	14.9%																							14.9
2-16	20.3%																							20.3
1-17	23.2%																							23.2
0-18	17.6%																							17.6

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	15.6														0.0		0.0	0.0	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.6%