Preseason Rankings
Washington St.
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#91
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.2#321
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#107
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#70
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 2.3% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.3% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.1% 8.7% 1.9%
Average Seed 9.4 9.4 10.3
.500 or above 82.9% 85.2% 59.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.7% 82.2% 66.1%
Conference Champion 7.5% 7.9% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.9%
First Four2.7% 2.9% 0.8%
First Round13.1% 13.9% 4.7%
Second Round6.3% 6.7% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 91.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 34 - 9
Quad 35 - 210 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 257   Portland St. W 75-61 91%    
  Nov 08, 2024 92   Bradley W 67-64 61%    
  Nov 11, 2024 279   Idaho W 73-58 92%    
  Nov 15, 2024 45   Iowa L 73-77 37%    
  Nov 18, 2024 226   Northern Colorado W 78-65 87%    
  Nov 21, 2024 262   Eastern Washington W 78-67 84%    
  Nov 26, 2024 250   Fresno St. W 70-59 83%    
  Dec 02, 2024 75   @ Nevada L 65-69 36%    
  Dec 08, 2024 63   Boise St. L 65-67 43%    
  Dec 14, 2024 207   Missouri St. W 72-60 85%    
  Dec 18, 2024 62   @ Washington L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 21, 2024 112   Northern Iowa W 68-65 59%    
  Dec 28, 2024 271   @ Portland W 74-65 77%    
  Dec 30, 2024 141   Loyola Marymount W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 04, 2025 82   San Francisco W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 314   Pacific W 78-60 93%    
  Jan 11, 2025 6   @ Gonzaga L 65-78 13%    
  Jan 16, 2025 282   @ San Diego W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 271   Portland W 77-62 89%    
  Jan 23, 2025 98   @ Santa Clara L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 61-63 44%    
  Jan 30, 2025 314   @ Pacific W 75-63 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 82   @ San Francisco L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 06, 2025 123   @ Oregon St. W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   Pepperdine W 74-62 84%    
  Feb 15, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 58-66 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 6   Gonzaga L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 98   Santa Clara W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 282   San Diego W 78-63 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine W 71-65 70%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.7 5.6 2.9 0.6 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 7.0 5.8 1.8 0.1 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.1 7.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.7 1.0 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.4 5.2 7.7 10.7 12.7 13.9 13.4 11.7 8.7 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-2 80.7% 2.4    1.6 0.8 0.0
15-3 43.7% 2.4    1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 14.7% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 4.1 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 40.8% 59.2% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.0% 95.8% 40.0% 55.9% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.1%
16-2 2.9% 82.0% 32.0% 49.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 73.5%
15-3 5.4% 61.3% 23.6% 37.7% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.1 49.3%
14-4 8.7% 37.7% 16.2% 21.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.4 25.6%
13-5 11.7% 18.4% 10.4% 8.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.6 8.9%
12-6 13.4% 7.9% 5.2% 2.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4 2.9%
11-7 13.9% 4.0% 3.1% 0.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.9%
10-8 12.7% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.2%
9-9 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.0%
8-10 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
6-12 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.4% 6.8% 7.5% 9.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.3 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.6 8.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.8 40.0 40.0 20.0