Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#177
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.8#199
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 12.7
.500 or above 26.1% 29.7% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 22.4% 9.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 18.9% 16.8% 29.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 82.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 52 - 11
Quad 33 - 55 - 15
Quad 47 - 212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 309   Tennessee St. W 76-66 82%    
  Nov 13, 2024 21   @ Texas Tech L 63-79 7%    
  Nov 16, 2024 276   Utah Tech W 78-70 76%    
  Nov 22, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 04, 2024 81   @ Utah St. L 68-79 17%    
  Dec 10, 2024 274   @ South Dakota W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 14, 2024 32   BYU L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 19, 2024 299   Bellarmine W 74-65 79%    
  Dec 22, 2024 244   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 28, 2024 75   Nevada L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 31, 2024 63   Boise St. L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 04, 2025 229   @ Air Force L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 07, 2025 70   New Mexico L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 14, 2025 63   @ Boise St. L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 84   Colorado St. L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 21, 2025 95   @ UNLV L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 160   @ San Jose St. L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 28, 2025 250   Fresno St. W 72-65 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 47   @ San Diego St. L 61-75 13%    
  Feb 04, 2025 81   Utah St. L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 95   UNLV L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 70   @ New Mexico L 71-83 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 84   @ Colorado St. L 63-74 19%    
  Feb 18, 2025 229   Air Force W 69-63 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 160   San Jose St. W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 75   @ Nevada L 65-76 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 47   San Diego St. L 64-72 26%    
  Mar 04, 2025 250   @ Fresno St. W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 3.7 1.4 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.7 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.3 6.2 3.2 0.7 0.1 18.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.7 4.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.2 10th
11th 0.7 2.3 3.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.6 11th
Total 0.7 2.4 4.9 8.0 10.1 11.3 12.2 11.4 10.1 8.7 6.6 5.0 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 90.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 59.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 64.5% 35.5% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 93.5% 39.6% 54.0% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.3%
17-3 0.1% 73.1% 29.4% 43.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.9%
16-4 0.4% 50.5% 19.4% 31.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 38.6%
15-5 0.8% 30.1% 16.0% 14.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 16.8%
14-6 1.3% 14.8% 9.8% 5.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 5.6%
13-7 2.3% 9.5% 8.2% 1.3% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 1.4%
12-8 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.4 0.5%
11-9 5.0% 3.7% 3.6% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.1%
10-10 6.6% 1.7% 1.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
9-11 8.7% 0.8% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
8-12 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
6-14 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.2
5-15 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-16 10.1% 10.1
3-17 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19 2.4% 2.4
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.3 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%