Elon
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
528  Luis Vargas SO 32:59
1,406  Ben Perron JR 34:21
1,535  Ari Rothschild SO 34:32
1,812  Adam Bernstein SO 35:00
1,928  James Stevenson JR 35:09
2,317  Reed Payne FR 35:44
2,349  Sean Martyn SR 35:49
2,427  Connor Mercurio SR 35:59
2,576  Ryan Gwaltney FR 36:21
2,640  Ranley Gousse SO 36:33
3,019  Nick Foley FR 38:19
National Rank #179 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #25 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Luis Vargas Ben Perron Ari Rothschild Adam Bernstein James Stevenson Reed Payne Sean Martyn Connor Mercurio Ryan Gwaltney Ranley Gousse Nick Foley
Charlotte Invitational (Green) 09/28 35:23 35:58 36:15 39:01
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 1227 33:21 34:36 34:19 35:10 34:53 36:00 35:53
Queens Royals Challenge 10/12 1209 32:57 34:36 34:37 35:04 34:59 35:26 36:04 36:25 37:44 37:44
Southern Conference Championships 10/27 1200 32:48 33:59 34:46 35:08 35:28 37:04 35:13 36:26 36:27
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1194 32:56 34:15 34:21 34:31 35:15 35:57 36:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 25.8 758 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.4 9.6 13.2 15.3 16.7 14.8 12.8 9.1 2.1 0.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luis Vargas 64.2 0.0
Ben Perron 146.9
Ari Rothschild 157.7
Adam Bernstein 183.4
James Stevenson 192.3
Reed Payne 224.8
Sean Martyn 227.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 0.2% 0.2 20
21 1.1% 1.1 21
22 4.4% 4.4 22
23 9.6% 9.6 23
24 13.2% 13.2 24
25 15.3% 15.3 25
26 16.7% 16.7 26
27 14.8% 14.8 27
28 12.8% 12.8 28
29 9.1% 9.1 29
30 2.1% 2.1 30
31 0.4% 0.4 31
32 0.1% 0.1 32
33 0.0% 0.0 33
34 0.0% 0.0 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0