Appalachian State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
540  Michael Ellis SO 32:55
646  Kyle McFoy JR 33:06
768  Chris Anderson SO 33:17
862  Josh Cox SR 33:27
986  Daniel Ellis FR 33:37
1,501  Cade Zimmerman FR 34:19
1,537  Evan Laratta SO 34:22
1,700  Ryan Shannon FR 34:34
2,457  Grant Rodgers FR 35:53
2,581  Tyler Sink SO 36:09
2,687  Chris Kelly FR 36:26
National Rank #118 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #16 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 11.0%
Top 20 in Regional 99.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Ellis Kyle McFoy Chris Anderson Josh Cox Daniel Ellis Cade Zimmerman Evan Laratta Ryan Shannon Grant Rodgers Tyler Sink Chris Kelly
Upstate Invitational 10/04 1120 32:57 33:05 33:34 33:41 34:25 34:22 34:32 36:21 35:55
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/17 1160 33:33 33:26 33:31 33:47 34:09 34:10 35:20 36:18 37:08
Sun Belt Conference Championships 11/02 1057 32:52 32:40 33:14 33:24 33:36 34:51 34:59 34:54
3 Stripe Invite 11/08 36:10 35:49
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 1048 32:28 33:12 33:02 33:13 34:10 34:07 34:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.7 419 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 7.0 10.0 12.1 13.4 14.4 13.9 12.1 7.8 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Ellis 57.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Kyle McFoy 67.2 0.0
Chris Anderson 80.5
Josh Cox 92.2
Daniel Ellis 104.4
Cade Zimmerman 149.4
Evan Laratta 152.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.7% 0.7 8
9 3.1% 3.1 9
10 7.0% 7.0 10
11 10.0% 10.0 11
12 12.1% 12.1 12
13 13.4% 13.4 13
14 14.4% 14.4 14
15 13.9% 13.9 15
16 12.1% 12.1 16
17 7.8% 7.8 17
18 3.6% 3.6 18
19 1.0% 1.0 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0