Appalachian State
Men -
Women
2013
-
2014 -
2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
540 |
Michael Ellis |
SO |
32:55 |
646 |
Kyle McFoy |
JR |
33:06 |
768 |
Chris Anderson |
SO |
33:17 |
862 |
Josh Cox |
SR |
33:27 |
986 |
Daniel Ellis |
FR |
33:37 |
1,501 |
Cade Zimmerman |
FR |
34:19 |
1,537 |
Evan Laratta |
SO |
34:22 |
1,700 |
Ryan Shannon |
FR |
34:34 |
2,457 |
Grant Rodgers |
FR |
35:53 |
2,581 |
Tyler Sink |
SO |
36:09 |
2,687 |
Chris Kelly |
FR |
36:26 |
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National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
11.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
99.6% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Michael Ellis |
Kyle McFoy |
Chris Anderson |
Josh Cox |
Daniel Ellis |
Cade Zimmerman |
Evan Laratta |
Ryan Shannon |
Grant Rodgers |
Tyler Sink |
Chris Kelly |
Upstate Invitational |
10/04 |
1120 |
32:57 |
33:05 |
33:34 |
33:41 |
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34:25 |
34:22 |
34:32 |
36:21 |
35:55 |
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Blue Ridge Open Meet |
10/17 |
1160 |
33:33 |
33:26 |
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33:31 |
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33:47 |
34:09 |
34:10 |
35:20 |
36:18 |
37:08 |
Sun Belt Conference Championships |
11/02 |
1057 |
32:52 |
32:40 |
33:14 |
33:24 |
33:36 |
34:51 |
34:59 |
34:54 |
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3 Stripe Invite |
11/08 |
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36:10 |
35:49 |
Southeast Region Championships |
11/14 |
1048 |
32:28 |
33:12 |
33:02 |
33:13 |
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34:10 |
34:07 |
34:41 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
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4 |
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18 |
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20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
13.7 |
419 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
3.1 |
7.0 |
10.0 |
12.1 |
13.4 |
14.4 |
13.9 |
12.1 |
7.8 |
3.6 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
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18 |
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20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Michael Ellis |
57.1 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
Kyle McFoy |
67.2 |
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0.0 |
Chris Anderson |
80.5 |
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Josh Cox |
92.2 |
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Daniel Ellis |
104.4 |
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Cade Zimmerman |
149.4 |
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Evan Laratta |
152.6 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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5 |
6 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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6 |
7 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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7 |
8 |
0.7% |
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0.7 |
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8 |
9 |
3.1% |
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3.1 |
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9 |
10 |
7.0% |
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7.0 |
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10 |
11 |
10.0% |
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10.0 |
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11 |
12 |
12.1% |
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12.1 |
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12 |
13 |
13.4% |
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13.4 |
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13 |
14 |
14.4% |
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14.4 |
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14 |
15 |
13.9% |
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13.9 |
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15 |
16 |
12.1% |
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12.1 |
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16 |
17 |
7.8% |
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7.8 |
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17 |
18 |
3.6% |
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3.6 |
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18 |
19 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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19 |
20 |
0.4% |
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0.4 |
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20 |
21 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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21 |
22 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
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37 |
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38 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
41 |
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41 |
42 |
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42 |
43 |
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43 |
44 |
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44 |
45 |
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45 |
46 |
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46 |
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47 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Texas-Arlington |
0.4% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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1.0 |